Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

478
FXUS62 KMLB 121841
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
241 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

- Rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents
  will persist at area beaches through early week. Entering the
  hazardous surf is discouraged.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue across much of the
  coastal waters this afternoon into tonight as a moderate to
  fresh onshore breeze maintains seas up to 6-7 feet.

- Remaining dry over the next several days, with temperatures
  continuing to gradually warm through the upcoming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Today-tonight... Upper level high pressure across the Gulf will
slowly shift eastward over the Florida peninsula through the day.
The surface high pressure over the eastern seaboard will push off
the coast and into the western Atlantic today as a low pressure
system forms across the northern US and southern Canada and begins
to move slightly towards the east. The ridge axis will remain in
place across the Florida peninsula, resulting in easterly flow
prevailing. Winds will increase to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon, with
gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph, as the east coast sea breeze forms
and pushes inland before becoming light once again tonight. Drier
air continues to filter across the area, with forecast PW values
ranging from 0.5-0.7" this afternoon. Due to this drier air, no
mentionable rain chances are forecast today, not even in the breezy
onshore flow. Temperatures will be near normal today, with afternoon
highs in the upper 70s along the coast, and low 80s across the
interior. Overnight lows will be in upper 50s to low 60s. At the
beaches, rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip
currents continue at all area beaches due to the breezy onshore flow
maintaining a lingering elevated swell. Entering the surf is not
advised.

Monday-Saturday... Upper level high pressure will continue to build
over the Gulf and over the Florida peninsula through the period as a
trough across the western US/Great Plains region begins to flatten
once again as it shifts eastward towards the Midwest and then
offshore the eastern US into mid week. Another trough will develop
and deepen over the western US into late week as it shifts eastward
towards the Midwest into the weekend. Surface high pressure offshore
the eastern seaboard on Monday will gradually shift southward
through the period with the ridge axis remaining over the Florida
peninsula. A surface front across the Midwest extending towards TX
that is associated with the second trough (late week) will shift
east and southward towards the Florida peninsula into the weekend.
However, the trough and the front will likely remain north of the
area due to insufficient forcing. Will continue to monitor trends
with that system. The drier air, forecast PW values remaining less
than 1.0", coupled with light onshore flow and subsidence, will
yield very low (10% or less) rain chances through the period. The
warming trend continues, with afternoon highs ranging from low to
mid 80s on Monday, to mid 80s to low 90s on Saturday. Overnight lows
will be in the 60s.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Today-Tonight... Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist
across the central Florida Atlantic today. High pressure continuing
to build over the eastern seaboard and western Atlantic will slacken
the pressure gradient and maintains east winds at 15-20 KT. Seas
will be 5-7ft today. A Small Craft Advisory continues over the
offshore waters of Brevard County and across the Treasure Coast
waters where seas up to 7 feet will exist. Small craft will need to
continue to exercise caution across the nearshore waters of Brevard
County and offshore waters of Volusia County for seas up to 6 feet.

Monday-Thursday... High pressure shifts into the subtropical
Atlantic while the ridge axis remains pinned over the Florida
peninsula. This will allow the pressure gradient to further loosen,
resulting in easterly winds becoming mostly 5-15 KT with occasional
pushes towards 15-20 KT south of the Cape. Seas 5-6 feet Monday will
continue poor boating conditions for portions of the waters. By
Tuesday, more favorable boating conditions are forecast as winds are
forecast to range from 5-15 knots, and seas fall to 5 feet or
less. Mostly dry conditions forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 145 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026

VFR, dry conditions prevailing. E winds 10-15 kts today, with
gusts 20-25 kts, especially along the coast. Will see winds
slacken across inland areas overnight, but remain up to 10-12 kts
from around MLB/TIX southward. Monday, winds increase to 10-15 kts
once again after around 14-15Z. However, wind gusts are forecast
to be slightly lower, closer to 18-22 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  64  80  62  81 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  62  82  63  84 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  67  79  67  80 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  65  80  65  80 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  61  85  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  62  83  62  85 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  62  83  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  64  80  65  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ555-572-575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Watson
AVIATION...Leahy

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion