Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

022
FXUS62 KMLB 062359
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
659 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 101 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

- Fog will remain a concern during the early mornings through
  midweek. Expect sudden visibility reductions for commuters.

- Above-normal temperatures continue through Saturday, with highs
  reaching the lower 80s over the interior. A few daily record
  highs may be threatened on Friday and Saturday.

- A cold front is still forecast to arrive sometime on Sunday,
  with cooler weather returning next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 101 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

Rest of Today-Saturday...Our stretch of warm, dry conditions will
persist into this weekend, as high pressure remains in place over
the western Atlantic. A surface ridge axis stretching
southwestward towards the Florida peninsula will gradually shift
northward through the period, resulting in a wind direction change
into late week. Light, generally westerly winds will persist into
Wednesday across the area, before winds back south-southeast
Thursday onward, as the axis moves into north Florida. The
exception is a weak sea breeze that has developed along the coast
south of the Cape this afternoon, which is forecast to struggle to
develop Wednesday. Mentionable PoPs remain out of the forecast,
with only a slight chance of a few offshore showers into Saturday.

Temperatures and fog will be the main story through the next
several days. The proximity of the ridge will continue to produce
nearly calm winds during the overnight hours, maintaining the
threat for at least patchy fog into the early morning hours over
the next few days. Fog may continue to become dense at times, so
motorists should use caution, particularly during the morning
commute hours. Overnight lows in the lower to mid-50s through
mid-week will warm into the upper 50s to lower 60s, as winds
become onshore. A warming trend will also persist for the daytime
hours, as highs reach the lower 80s area-wide by late week. A few
record high temperatures could be threatened Friday and Saturday.

Sunday-Early Next Week...High pressure departs eastward into the
Atlantic late in the weekend, ahead of our next cold front. A
trough digging through the eastern US will drag a weakening front
through the Florida peninsula Sunday. While some model
discrepancies still exist, they are in better agreement that the
front will reach south Florida by early Monday. Models also
analyze the front as mostly dry when it reaches the local area.
Thus, have maintained NBM PoPs (below 15% over land) into early
next week. However, isolated to scattered showers are possible
over the nearby Atlantic waters. Disagreement still exists for the
amount of wind behind the front, so this will need to be monitored
over the next several days. The front looks to put an end to the
above normal temperatures, as highs fall into the upper 60s to
lower 70s early next week, though recent model runs indicate a
more modest cool down for overnight lows. Regardless, mid to
upper 40s will be possible in the morning hours north of I-4 to
start the work week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 101 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

Generally favorable boating conditions will persist into the
weekend, as high pressure continues over the western Atlantic,
with a ridge axis extended towards the Florida peninsula. Offshore
winds through Wednesday will veer south-southeasterly into
Saturday, as the ridge meanders, remaining around 10 kts or less.
A cold front is then forecast to move through the local waters on
Sunday, veering winds northerly and deteriorating boating
conditions. Seas 1-3 ft through most of the period building to up
to 5-8 ft in the Gulf Stream Sunday night. Generally dry
conditions prevail, despite a few showers offshore at times. The
weekend cold front will increase coverage of isolated to scattered
showers, though the risk for lightning appear low at this time
(less than 15%).

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 655 PM EST Tue Jan 6 2026

VFR prevail thru at least 05z before fog development becomes
possible, especially over interior terminals. MVFR/IFR conditions
may trend LIFR at times for SFB/MCO/ISM/LEE after 09z, with lower
confidence in fog reaching DAB/TIX/MLB after 10-11z. Fog lingers
thru 14-15z Wed. before dissipating and giving way to a FEW/SCT
low-level cu and passing high clouds. West winds remain light 5-7
kt, turning onshore after 22z along the coast as a weak sea breeze
forms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  57  78  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  58  78  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  56  78  58  78 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  54  79  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  58  78  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  58  78  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  59  78  59  80 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  54  80  57  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Leahy
AVIATION...Schaper

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion