Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

931
FXUS62 KMLB 091753
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1253 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 247 AM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

- Dense fog development will once again be possible across east
  central Florida late tonight into Saturday morning.

- Warm and mostly dry conditions forecast today into Saturday,
  with much cooler temperatures building into the area behind the
  next cold front Sunday night into Monday.

- Boating conditions will become hazardous behind the passing cold
  front late Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 247 AM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Today-Saturday...Ridge axis of surface high pressure over the west
Atlantic will remain across central Florida today into tomorrow,
while a ridge aloft persists across the area. This will continue
mostly dry and much warmer than normal conditions across east
central Florida. Southeast flow and sufficient low level moisture
may transport a few showers onshore along the coast south of the
Cape today through Saturday, and have therefore added a slight (20%)
for showers across this region. Otherwise PoPs remain below
mentionable levels elsewhere (10% or less). Forecast highs in the
low 80s will be within 1-3 degrees of daily records both today and
Saturday mostly across the interior, with Leesburg currently
forecast to tie their record high of 82 degrees today. Overnight
lows will also be above normal in the upper 50s to low 60s for most
locations.

Patchy/areas of fog will continue to be the main weather concern,
mainly through early this morning and again late tonight through
early Saturday morning. Fog may become dense in spots, producing
visibilities of a half mile or less. Any fog that does develop will
lift and diminish through late morning.

Sunday-Monday...A cold front will approach the area late in the
weekend, and is forecast to move through central Florida Sunday
afternoon. Isolated showers are forecast along and ahead of this
front, mainly across to north of the Orlando metro area Sunday, with
PoPs around 20%. Little to no CAPE will exist ahead of this front,
so no storms are expected. With the front initially moving into
northern sections of east central Florida into the afternoon, highs
look to only reach the mid to upper 70s, but south of Orlando max
temps should again reach the low 80s.

Northerly winds behind the front will remain breezy to windy along
the coast into Sunday night, with gusts up to 30-35 mph. Wind speeds
inland will be a little lower but still elevated around 10-15 mph
with gusts to 20-25 mph possible at times. This will transport in a
much cooler and drier airmass. Lows early Monday morning are
forecast to range from the mid to upper 40s near to northwest of I-4
and in the 50s farther southeast across the region. Highs on Monday
will only reach the mid to upper 60s near to north of Orlando and
low 70s to the south, as winds veer northeast. Lows Monday night
will again fall to the 50s for much of the area, except mid to upper
40s northwest of I-4.

Tuesday-Thursday...Front will stall across the Straits of Florida
Tuesday, with mostly dry conditions and a lighter onshore flow
forecast. Model guidance then has this boundary lifting back
northward into the Florida peninsula through midweek before an
advancing trough shifts another strong cold front through the area
late week. Increasing moisture with the northward moving front will
lead to a rise in rain chances across the area, with a chance for
showers both Wednesday and Thursday (around 40-50%). Instability
again looks rather weak, so have kept mention of any thunderstorm
development out of the forecast. Highs on Tuesday warm slightly to
the low to mid 70s and then range from the upper 60s to mid 70s
Wednesday, before dropping to the mid 60s to low 70s on Thursday.
Morning lows will mostly be in the 50s both Wednesday and
Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 247 AM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Ridge axis of high pressure over the Atlantic will remain extended
across central Florida today into Saturday, with S/SE winds less
than 15 knots and seas 1-2 feet. These favorable boating conditions
will continue through at least Sunday morning before a cold front
moves through the waters Sunday afternoon. Northerly winds increase
to 15-25 knots behind the front through Sunday night, building seas
up to 6-9 feet. Poor to hazardous boating conditions will then
continue into Monday as winds veer to the NE and gradually diminish
from 15-20 knots in the morning to 10-15 knots in the afternoon,
with seas still up to 7-9 feet across the gulf stream waters.
Boating conditions are then forecast to improve into Tuesday as
onshore winds decrease to 5-10 knots and seas fall to 3-5 feet.

Isolated showers will be possible across the waters today through
this weekend, with an increase in shower coverage forecast with the
passage of the front Sunday. It will then turn drier initially behind
the front into Sunday night, with isolated showers again possible
into early next week as flow veers onshore and moisture gradually
increases.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1253 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

VFR this afternoon and evening. Monitoring for fog once again
tonight into early Saturday morning, and have included TEMPOs
from 10Z/13Z across the interior terminals. South to southeast
winds increase to around 7-10 kts across the interior and 9-12 kts
along the coast today. Winds diminish to around 5 kts after
sunset, becoming light and variable at times late tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  61  81  59  74 /  10  10   0  20
MCO  62  82  62  79 /   0   0  10  20
MLB  63  79  61  78 /  10  10  10  10
VRB  63  80  60  80 /  20  20  10  10
LEE  61  81  59  73 /   0   0  10  20
SFB  61  82  61  77 /   0   0   0  20
ORL  62  82  62  77 /   0   0   0  20
FPR  62  81  60  80 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Weitlich
AVIATION...Law

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion