Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

655
FXUS62 KMLB 091808
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
208 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2026

- Lingering showers through midnight with overall drier conditions
  returning. Still cannot rule out a light shower along the
  southern Brevard and Treasure Coast Friday.

- Gusty winds to last through early evening (30-40 mph at times),
  so the Wind Advisory remains in effect through 8 PM. Breezy
  conditions continue, especially at the coast, into the weekend.

- Hazardous beach and boating conditions to last through the
  upcoming weekend, including life-threatening rip currents.
  Minor beach erosion is possible during times of high tide.

- Drier and warmer conditions return over the next 5-7 days as
  high pressure builds over east-central Florida.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Now-Friday...A coastal surface trough remains evident this afternoon
on RAP analysis. The feature, along with sufficient 1.4" PW values
and persistent onshore flow, are supporting scattered showers
areawide. Higher rain amounts have been focused closer to the coast
from Cape Canaveral southward, reaching 1-3" in spots. Short of
noontime, Vero Beach received 3.10", breaking a previous daily
record of 1.72" set in 1944. Likewise, Fort Pierce had received
3.11", breaking a previous daily record of 2.10" set in 1912.
Showers will likely linger through late afternoon and early evening
before drier air starts to reduce coverage from north to south
tonight. While some of these showers are heavy at times, they are
moving east to west quickly, so flooding concerns are diminishing.
Easterly winds stay gusty through sunset, gradually decreasing by
midnight (occasional peak gusts 30-40 mph). Where sun can break
through the clouds or a shower passes through, gusty winds are more
likely...especially at the coast, where a Wind Advisory remains in
effect. Temperatures remain somewhat mild overnight, falling into
the 60s (upper 50s closer to Lake George).

While model guidance gives way to lower confidence, there will still
be a small opportunity for light showers along the coast Friday. Any
shower activity should be focused south along the Treasure Coast
where the last bit of 1"+ PW values linger. With the pressure
gradient unwinding some, onshore winds will be a bit less gusty
during the day (compared to the last couple of days). Partly cloudy
skies return as overall moisture decreases, allowing sun to warm us
into the upper 70s to low 80 (inland). Hazardous beach conditions
remain Friday, so don`t be caught off guard by the overall
improvement in weather conditions. Numerous life-threatening rip
currents and rough surf are expected, so a High Surf Advisory and
High Risk of Rip Currents will continue.

Saturday-Thursday...High pressure expands over the eastern seaboard
this weekend, supporting a continuation of breezy east winds. Drier
air settling south brings an end to rain chances for this period.
Surface high pressure slides east and offshore of the U.S. coast
early next week, becoming well established over the north Atlantic.
The western periphery of the high looks to be reinforced by H5
ridging over the southeast U.S. through much of the week. Therefore,
expect an upward trend in high temperatures, starting with the upper
70s to low 80s this weekend and reaching the mid to upper 80s late
next week. Coastal locations may stay a few degrees cooler (low
80s), thanks to the east coast breeze.

At the beaches, a high risk of rip currents continues through at
least Sunday, with at least a moderate risk into early next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Hazardous boating conditions continue this afternoon with Buoy 41068
reporting easterly wind gusts around 30 knots. Nearby Buoy 41114 is
reporting 8-9 ft seas as of 1 PM EDT. Winds begin to decrease after
midnight, falling to 15-20 kts for the next several days. However,
rough seas will persist with wave heights 6-10 ft Friday and at
least 5-8 ft through the weekend. A Small Craft Advisory remains for
all legs of the local waters through at least Friday night. As seas
begin to decline, the advisory may be pared back to select marine
zones. Conditions should improve further early next week as high
pressure becomes more established over the local Atlantic. Isolated
to scattered showers remain possible through Friday, especially
south of Cape Canaveral. Thereafter, drier conditions are
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Brief periods of MVFR CIGs will persist through the afternoon, as
widely scattered showers continue to drift onshore. VCSH
lingers, with multiple rounds of quick moving showers possible at
all terminals. Will continue to monitor trends for persistent
bands of showers, which may require TEMPOs. Otherwise, windy
conditions this afternoon, with sustained winds 20-25 kts. Will
need to monitor MCO for a possible AWW for sustained winds. Gusts
are forecast between 25-30 kts, with the highest gusts along the
coast. Any showers could locally enhance wind gusts.

Showers will diminish in coverage tonight into Friday. Winds
remain elevated after sunset, but slacken to 10-15 kts. Gusts up
to 25 kts will persist along the coast. Less windy Friday, though
breezy onshore flow will continue.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  64  78  63  78 /  10  10   0   0
MCO  63  78  62  80 /  10  10   0   0
MLB  66  78  65  78 /  30  20  10  10
VRB  66  78  65  78 /  30  20  10  10
LEE  61  80  61  82 /   0  10   0   0
SFB  62  80  61  81 /  10  10   0   0
ORL  63  79  62  81 /  10  10   0   0
FPR  65  78  63  78 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for FLZ141-154-159-164-
     347-447-647-747.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ141-154-159-164-
     347-447-647-747.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ550.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ552-555-570-
     572-575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schaper
AVIATION...Leahy

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion