Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

211
FXUS62 KMLB 080712
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
312 AM EDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, CLIMATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

- High risk of rip currents continues at area beaches this
  weekend, entering the surf is strongly discouraged.

- Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are possible this
  afternoon and evening along the sea breeze collision.

- Above normal temperatures and near record highs possible today
  into next week, particularly across the interior.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Current-Tonight...Will have to remain mindful of some patchy
(locally) dense fog and low stratus clouds early this morning. Any
fog that does develop will burn off through mid-morning. High
pressure continues across the western Atlc with associated ridge
near the central FL peninsula. This will provide a S/SE flow with
speeds increasing to 10-15 mph and a little higher along the coast
and gusty at times. The ECSB will develop and push inland this
afternoon, and a collision with the WCSB late in the day is expected
near a Deland-Sanford-Orlando-central Osceola County line. Highest
PoP chances (40-50%) will result from this interaction and a 5-10
mph SWRLY steering flow will bring some of this activity back
towards the coast, esp Volusia/Brevard counties. Storm threats
include lightning strikes, gusty winds locally to around 40-50 mph,
heavy downpours, and small hail. Activity should wind down thru mid
to late evening, with highest coverage between 5-9pm.

Highs will reach the L80s along the coast to M-U80s into the
interior. Overnight lows remain mild and in the 60s. Some areas
along the immediate Space/Treasure coasts and adjacent barrier
islands may realize values closer to 70F.

A continued threat exists at ALL central FL beaches for numerous,
strong, life-threatening rip currents and occasional rough surf, in
part, due to the persistent easterly long period swell. It is
strongly discouraged to enter the chilly surf through this weekend!

Mon-Sat...Surface pressure ridging remains near or across the
central FL peninsula into Wed, then gets shunted south/east in favor
of an advancing cold front that will push across ECFL on Thu. Weak
high pressure builds behind the front as winds veer onshore (NE/E)
Thu night/Fri, continuing onshore into the weekend. Leading up to
this into mid-week with a weaker pressure gradient in place,
variable morning winds will transition gradually to onshore with
daily sea breeze formation. Lighter winds in the low-levels will
likely promote a better chance for patchy (dense) fog development
across the area Mon/Tue/Wed mornings. A 15-24% chance for showers
will exist on Mon - no thunder yet, but cannot rule out an ISOLD
lightning storm if late day collisions are strong enough. Mostly
dry conditions Tue/Wed. SCT-NMRS showers and ISOLD storms (40-60%)
forecast with aforementioned boundary on Thu. Residual moisture
behind the front remains with a 15-25% chance for showers on Fri
south of Orlando, with sea breeze activity promoting a 15-30%
convective shot areawide on Sat.

Well above normal temperatures continue thru Thu. Highs each day
thru Wed in the L-M80s near the immediate coast and M-U80s into the
interior, with a 90F reading or two within reach. These temperatures
will flirt with records which run in the U80s to around 90F each of
these days across the interior. For Thu, pre-frontal, with
clouds/precip chances increasing we expect L80s across the I-4
corridor with M-U80s southward. Fri will be closer towards seasonal
values with mainly 70s, except L80s across our far western coverage
warning area. Sat will see temps bounce upward again with U70s at
the coast and L80s to a few M80s across the interior. Overnight lows
will remain mild and continue generally in the 60s areawide thru Thu
morning. Fri morning, post-frontal, L-M50s N/W of I-4 with U50s to
L60s southward, except M60s for the Martin County coast. Lows in the
U50s to L60s generally for Sat/Sun mornings.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Few showers around this morning, with the threat for offshore-
moving convection late today/evening as a sea breeze collision
takes place across the eastern peninsula with light SW storm
steering flow. Storm threats late today/evening will be lightning
strikes, locally gusty winds in excess of 34 kts, heavy downpours,
and small hail.

A high pressure ridge axis will settle southward closer to central
FL today into early next week. Winds will be predominately SE/S at
10-15 kts, becoming offshore this evening/overnight. Generally
onshore winds during the day thru mid-week ahead of a cold front
that will pass across the local waters on Thu with an increase in
precip chances and deteriorating boating conditions (winds/seas).

Primary contribution to wave height continues to be a 3-4 ft east
swell with a bit of a wind chop added. Combined seas 3-5 ft today
thru Mon and 3-4 ft Tue-Wed, then gradually building seas Thu/Thu
night, slowly subsiding thru the day on Fri.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 103 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Continuing to monitor for fog/stratus early this morning with
current probabilities around 30% for MVFR impacts across the
interior and at DAB. Some models indicate that any fog/stratus
that does develop could linger 2-3 hours beyond sunrise. South to
southeast winds increase to 6-9 kts across the interior and 10-14
kts along the coast. VCTS/VCSH is forecast from ISM/MLB northward
this afternoon. A sea breeze collision should occur near the I-4
corridor late in the day, and have included TSRA TEMPOs at
ISM/MCO/SFB/DAB. Some lingering showers look to persist through
the evening hours.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 303 AM EST Sun Mar 8 2026

Record Highs for the next few days for east central Florida
climate sites. Normal highs for this time of year range from the
mid to upper 70s. Interior sites will have the best chance to
approach/break records.

             RECORD          RECORD           RECORD
     DATE    HIGH     DATE   HIGH     DATE    HIGH
DAB  8-Mar   87 1991  9-Mar  87 2024  10-Mar  86 2023
LEE  8-Mar   87 1974  9-Mar  88 2024  10-Mar  87 1974
SFB  8-Mar   87 1961  9-Mar  89 2024  10-Mar  90 1974
MCO  8-Mar   90 1935  9-Mar  90 2024  10-Mar  90 1918
MLB  8-Mar   90 1961  9-Mar  89 2022  10-Mar  90 1964
VRB  8-Mar   88 1956  9-Mar  90 2024  10-Mar  89 2022
FPR  8-Mar   91 1992  9-Mar  90 2022  10-Mar  90 2022

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  85  63  84  63 /  50  50  20  10
MCO  86  66  87  66 /  50  50  20   0
MLB  83  65  84  66 /  20  30  20  10
VRB  83  64  84  65 /  20  20  20   0
LEE  85  64  87  65 /  40  30  20   0
SFB  87  65  87  66 /  50  50  20   0
ORL  87  66  87  67 /  50  50  20   0
FPR  83  63  84  64 /  20  20  20   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sedlock
AVIATION...Law

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion