Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

473
FXUS62 KMLB 312320
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
720 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025

- Another chilly night tonight with below normal temperatures
ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s most areas.

- Rain chances increase Sunday afternoon and Sunday night associated
with the next cold front.

- Warming trend mid to late week while remaining mostly dry.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Tonight...Another chilly night with temperatures 10-14 degrees
below normal esp over the interior, ranging from the mid to upper
40s interior and low 50s metro Orlando. Forecast model soundings
show a light onshore flow will develop above the boundary layer
but as long as a light NW drainage flow can develop, coastal
sections will also drop back into the low and mid 50s, except
holding in the upper 50s/near 60 Martin coast.

Weekend...Dry conditions will continue Sat as high pressure scoots
eastward across the southeast U.S. A little less wind and a little
warmer with max temps in the mid to upper 70s. A cut-off upper low
will dig southward Sat night and Sun over the MS Valley. This will
bring an increase in moisture Sun and esp Sun night. While much of
Sunday looks dry, there will be an increase in clouds with shower
chances increasing 20-30% as early as Sun aftn across the north
interior but will be focused mainly Sun eve/Sun night areawide.
Warming trend will continue Sun with highs in the upper 70s north
and low 80s south.

Mon-Fri (modified)...Both 12Z GFS/ECMWF have the cut-off upper
level low moving into Florida to start Monday. The ECMWF keeps it
moving and weakening as it pulls east of FL, while the GFS shows
low cutting off from this flow and lingering near/just west of FL
over the eastern Gulf through early next week. This feature aloft
does lead to development of weak low pressure at the surface
either moving across or forming just northeast of FL, dragging a
cold front across the region Monday. Have kept low end PoPs
(around 20 percent) for Monday then leaned more toward the
NBM/ECMWF which shows drier conditions prevailing Tuesday onward.
Max temps fall back to the low to mid 70s for much of the region
Monday (except upper 70s Treasure Coast), and then gradually warm
back to the low 80s areawide by late week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Weekend...Decreasing winds and subsiding seas tonight and Sat as
high pressure moves eastward across the southeast U.S. The Advisory
was allowed to expire at 2pm for the offshore waters and will keep a
Caution headline there into this evening for seas up to 6 ft. Seas
are forecast to subside 3 to 4 feet later tonight.  Winds are
forecast to remain out of the N/NE Saturday and Sunday with speeds 5
to 10 knots. Seas 2-4 feet Sat and 2-3 ft Sunday. Isolated to
scattered showers are forecast to push offshore ahead of the next
frontal boundary as early as Sun aftn but focused Sun night.

Mon-Wed...NW winds increase behind the cold front Mon 15-20 knots
and gradually veer NE by Wed. This prolonged period of a north wind
component will produce poor to hazardous boating conditions with
seas building to 7 ft in the Gulf stream and choppy seas both
nearshore and offshore. Initial surge of drier air behind the front
should modify quickly as flow turns NE by Wed. Isolated showers will
be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 720 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025

VFR conditions through the period at all east central Florida
terminals. Light and variable winds during the overnight hours
with NE winds picking up after 16Z at 5 to 10 knots. Dry through
the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  50  73  58  77 /   0   0   0  10
MCO  51  76  58  80 /   0   0   0  10
MLB  54  76  61  79 /   0   0   0  10
VRB  53  77  60  80 /   0   0   0  10
LEE  48  75  55  77 /   0   0   0  20
SFB  49  76  57  79 /   0   0   0  10
ORL  51  76  58  78 /   0   0   0  10
FPR  53  77  60  80 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion