Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

132
FXUS62 KMLB 081120
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
620 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 146 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

- A high risk of rip currents exists at area beaches today, along
  with lingering hazardous boating conditions in the Gulf Stream

- Drought conditions and lower humidity values through mid week
  combine to produce fire sensitive conditions

- Near to slightly above normal temperatures return this week with
  any notable rain chances likely holding off until next weekend,
  at earliest

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 145 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Today-Monday...A prolonged period of dry, warmer, and generally
tranquil weather begins today, but not before one last morning with
temperatures in the 30s. At 1 AM, temperatures were falling into the
40s with the expectation that areas along and north of I-4 reach the
mid/upper 30s by sunrise. Coincidentally, patchy frost is possible
across far north and western portions of Lake and inland Volusia
counties.

High pressure centered over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley expands
southward toward Florida today into Monday. The pressure gradient
also weakens, supporting a decrease in surface wind speeds (10 mph
or less). Wind direction will turn onshore each afternoon as the
east coast breeze forms, pushing inland through the evening hours.
High temps today will still be on the cooler/milder side, with
coastal Volusia and Brevard staying closer to the mid and upper 60s.
Elsewhere, and particularly from Orlando southward, sunshine will
warm things up into the low 70s. While a few more mid and upper
level clouds could move across the northern half of the area into
Monday morning, mostly clear conditions are forecast over a majority
of ECFL. Forecast lows Monday morning in the 40s to low 50s are
still about 5 to 8 degrees colder than normal. Temperatures warm by
a few more degrees Monday, reaching the low to mid 70s for most
(upper 60s Volusia coast). Overnight lows heading into Tuesday fall
shy of normal again by 5 or so degrees.

At the beaches, a high risk of life-threatening rip currents exists
today, likely persisting for at least another few days. This is due
to an incoming long-period swell. Do not let the warmer conditions
catch you off guard --- entering the water is discouraged!

Tuesday-Saturday...Mid level ridging slowly eases in our direction
Tuesday and Wednesday, then flattens out as a weak disturbance
develops over the central Gulf Coast. This energy quickly rolls
overhead late Wednesday night into Thursday with no associated
weather impacts. West-northwest 500mb flow continues late week into
the first part of the weekend, followed by the potential for a fast-
moving weather system arriving on Sunday. Model agreement is only
slightly better in the most recent 00z cycle, but the timing spread
is quite large regarding when rain chances could increase and a cold
front (potentially) moves across the area. For now, confidence is
greater in the extended temperature forecast, which highlights a
warming trend through the week. Highs in the mid 70s to low 80s are
forecast from Tuesday onward, with the exception of Saturday as
cloud cover starts to increase. Overnight lows will largely settle
into the 50s areawide. Dry conditions continuing all week long will
likely worsen the current drought.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 145 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

High pressure building over the waters today into the upcoming week
will help to gradually improve boating conditions. However, 7-foot
seas lingering today and tonight in the Gulf Stream will prolong
hazardous conditions there. Winds remain light, turning onshore
along the coast in the afternoon hours as the sea breeze develops.
West/northwest winds return to 10 to 15 knots Wednesday and
Thursday. Seas up to 6 feet remain in the Gulf Stream Monday and
Tuesday before declining in the middle of the week. Very low rain
chances return to northern and offshore portions of the local
Atlantic by Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 620 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Light and variable winds forecast at MCO
and the interior terminals, with winds becoming northeasterly at
the coastal terminals. Light and variable to calm winds then
return this evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 145 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

Light northerly winds, generally under 10 mph, veer more easterly in
the afternoon. Low humidity values are forecast again, particularly
over interior east central Florida. Despite lower wind speeds, the
continued drought and lower humidity may lead to fire sensitivity.

High pressure into next week will promote light winds, turning
onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. A warming trend,
combined with little to no rainfall, will worsen ongoing drought
conditions and allow fire sensitive conditions to persist.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  66  45  69  45 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  70  47  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  68  48  70  49 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  70  47  72  49 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  69  43  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  70  45  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  70  47  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  70  46  73  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for AMZ555-570-572-
     575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schaper
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion