National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details
080 FXUS62 KMLB 091531 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1031 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 437 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 - Deteriorating boating and beach conditions today; High Risk of rip currents this weekend and into next week - Continued above normal temperatures well into next week; Highest rain chances on Monday && .UPDATE... Issued at 946 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 The KMLB radar shows isolated to scattered showers moving onshore and inland this morning. These showers are moving westward around 10-15mph. Temperatures as of 10 AM are in the upper 70s to low 80s. Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes will push E/SE towards the eastern seaboard through tonight. The pressure gradient will tighten today, increasing wind speeds to 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph (especially along the coast) at times. Winds will remain breezy and at times gusty overnight. The moist onshore flow will continue to support isolated onshore moving showers through tonight (PoP 15-20 percent), with some of this activity pushing well inland during the daytime hours, especially south of Volusia County. The threat for lightning storms remains limited due to these showers being shallow-topped. Thus, have left out the mention of lightning storms in the forecast into tonight. Temperatures remain well above normal for this time of year, with partly cloudy skies continuing. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 80s along the coast, and mid 80s across the interior, which is 10-15 degrees above normal. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Forecast remains on track with no major changes. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... Issued at 437 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 Today-Sun...Stout high pressure over the Great Lakes will push E/SE and off the mid Atlc coast while building down the eastern seaboard. The tightening pressure gradient will support increased east wind flow with wind speeds 15 mph and gusty esp along the coast today. Breezy/gusty winds will continue overnight and Sunday. Above normal temperatures continue esp with overnight lows holding 10-15 degrees above normal and highs both days in the mid 80s interior and lower 80s immediate coast. Record highs appear largely out of reach with the exception of Leesburg which could equal its record of 86F from 2018. Forecast soundings indicate just enough moisture present in the lowest 1 km to produce shallow, isolated showers that approach the coast from time to time. Some of this activity may push well inland during the daytime (peak heating) hours, but no lightning is forecast. The increased onshore flow will produce rough surf and a HIGH risk of rip currents at the beaches this weekend. Mon-Fri...A trough of low pressure currently just east of the Bahamas will be steered westward around the southern periphery of the Atlc high pressure, then NW-N across the Florida peninsula Mon. NHC has been tracking this feature but gives it only a 10 percent chance for development. Nonetheless, moisture will increase with this feature on Mon resulting in scattered showers and isolated storms. With rain chances at 30-50 percent across most of the area, Monday looks like the best chance for rain. A weak cool front is forecast to push across the area Tue and absorb this disturbance, shunting the deeper moisture east away from the area. There should be lingering showers on Tue but prospect for thunder looks too low to mention. A period of breezy/gusty north to northeast winds is forecast Tue-Wed but max temperatures will only drop a couple degrees holding in the lower 80s. Have kept Wed dry but forecast model soundings show enough low level moisture to produce isolated, fast-moving showers off the Atlc so may eventually need to add a small PoP then. A somewhat stronger cool front is forecast to push cleanly through the area late Thu/Thu night. Temperatures Fri will lower only back to near normal for this time of year as sfc wind flow quickly develops an onshore component but dewpoints/RH will be noticeably lower. A High risk of rip currents is likely to persist through early next week. && .MARINE... Issued at 437 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 Reinforcing high pressure will build down the eastern seaboard this weekend and tighten the pressure gradient, increasing winds 15-20 kt Sat and near 20 knots Sat night/Sun. Seas will respond, building to 6 FT offshore late Sat/Sat eve reaching the nearshore waters by Sun morning with 7-8 FT offshore. Have raised Small Craft Advisories to begin this evening across most of the waters while Small craft should exercise caution this afternoon as conditions deteriorate. By Mon, the pressure gradient will ease as a sfc trough lifts north across the area and brings scattered showers and storms. A frontal boundary is forecast to cross the area Tue with North to Northeast winds 10-15 knots Tue and 15-20 knots Wed building seas back to 5 FT nearshore and 7 FT offshore. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 620 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024 VFR conditions persist. VCSH along the coast this morning will expand to the inland terminals after 15Z. Showers are forecast to diminish after 00Z across the interior and DAB and TIX, with continuing VCSH from MLB southward. ESE winds picking up to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots possible. Winds across the interior will diminish to around 5 knots overnight, with conditions remaining gusty overnight along the coast from MLB southward. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 84 73 83 71 / 10 10 20 10 MCO 84 71 84 71 / 20 10 10 10 MLB 83 74 83 73 / 20 20 20 20 VRB 84 74 84 74 / 20 20 20 30 LEE 86 70 86 69 / 10 10 10 0 SFB 85 71 85 70 / 20 10 10 10 ORL 85 72 86 72 / 20 10 10 10 FPR 83 74 83 74 / 20 20 20 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 9 PM EST Sunday for AMZ550. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 PM EST Sunday for AMZ552-555. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for AMZ570-572-575. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Tollefsen
National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida
Today Partly Sunny |
Tonight Mostly Cloudy |
Sunday Partly Sunny |
Sunday Night Mostly Cloudy |
Veterans Day Thunder storm |
Hi ≈82°F | Lo ≈78°F | Hi ≈83°F | Lo ≈77°F | Hi ≈83°F |
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details
Contact © 2024, WeatherFL.com