Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

676
FXUS62 KMLB 201716
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
116 PM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 315 AM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers possible along the Treasure Coast
  this morning, with dry conditions anticipated over the weekend
  and into the start of next week.

- Poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions are forecast to
  linger over the next few days. A High risk of rip currents
  continues today and will likely persist this weekend. Entering
  the surf is strongly discouraged!

- Sensitive to near-critical fire weather conditions forecast
  today and will remain sensitive into the weekend.

- A gradual warming trend is forecast through the period, with
  temperatures reaching above normal values this weekend and into
  early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Today-Tonight...Mid-level trough pushing through Florida shifts
offshore this morning. This will continue to help generate isolated
to scattered showers across the waters that will be capable of
pushing onshore along the Treasure Coast this morning (rain chances
around 20-30%). Increasing instability and the passing disturbance
aloft may also lead to isolated lightning storm development across
the gulf stream waters, south of the Cape, but chances remain low
(~20 percent) and any storms should remain offshore. A relatively
tight pressure gradient will persist today with high pressure to the
north of the region. While winds are not forecast to be as strong as
yesterday, they will still be breezy, especially along the coast,
with northeast winds up to 15-20 mph and gusts to 25-30 mph. Across
inland areas, wind speeds will be closer to 10-15 mph with gusts up
to 20-25 mph. Warming trend will continue, with highs close but
still a few degrees below normal in the low to mid 70s. A High Risk
of rip currents remains at area beaches today. Entering the rough
and choppy surf is not advised today.

Northerly winds diminish to 5-10 mph or less into tonight. These
weakening winds and mostly clear skies will lead to favorable
radiational cooling conditions. Overnight lows will fall to near to
below normal values (upper 40s to mid 50s), and patchy fog will be
possible, especially near to north of the I-4 corridor late tonight
where boundary layer winds will be weaker.

Saturday-Monday...High pressure settles southward and will be
centered over the Gulf into Saturday, with high then shifting
eastward across the area through late weekend into early next week.
This will allow winds to relax and continue dry conditions across
the area, with highs trending warmer than normal. Max temps will
reach the low 80s for most locations Saturday and then will range
from the low to mid 80s both Sunday and Monday. Overnight lows will
still drop to near to slightly below normal values, mostly in the
50s, due to lighter winds and the dry airmass in place.

While the dry and warmer than normal conditions will attract more
beachgoers, a lingering swell will likely maintain a High Risk of
rip currents along the east central Florida coast through the
weekend. Entering the surf will still be strongly discouraged!

Tuesday-Thursday...A front is forecast to push southward into the
area Tuesday, increasing rain and thunderstorm chances through
midweek. Currently PoPs are modest around 20-30 percent, with just a
slight chance of storms. However, these may trend higher once there
is more confidence in the model guidance. This front will be weak,
with onshore flow quickly developing behind the boundary. This will
keep temperatures above normal through the period, with highs still
forecast in the low to mid 80s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 315 AM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Today-Saturday...Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist
through today and into Saturday. High pressure north of the area
will maintain a tight pressure gradient keeping northeast winds
around 15-20 knots today, but as high pressure settles southward
into the Gulf and across FL, winds will diminish to 5-10 knots out
of the N/NW tomorrow. Seas will be slower to decrease, with wave
heights still up to 7-8 feet over the gulf stream and 5-6 feet
closer to the coast today, and then ranging from 4-6 feet Saturday.

The Small Craft Advisory will continue across the entire coastal
waters through 10 AM this morning and then persist across the Gulf
Stream waters through 10 PM this evening. Small craft will still
need to exercise caution across the nearshore waters of Volusia and
Brevard counties from late morning into the afternoon for seas up to
6 feet. The Small Craft Advisory will then continue for the offshore
waters overnight tonight through early morning Saturday as seas
persist up to 7 feet.

Isolated to scattered showers will continue across the coastal
waters of Brevard County and the Treasure Coast through at least
this morning. Also, can`t completely rule out an isolated lightning
storm or two, mainly across the Gulf Stream waters, south of the
Cape. Shower activity then gradually diminishes through the
afternoon. Dry conditions will then prevail through early weekend.

Sunday-Tuesday...Boating conditions become more favorable late in
the weekend into Monday, with dry conditions continuing as high
pressure shifts east across the area. Offshore winds in the morning
become S/SE each afternoon and evening as sea breeze develops, with
wind speeds generally less than 15 knots. Seas fall to 3-5 feet
Sunday to 2-4 feet Monday. There will be the potential for
deteriorating boating conditions then later into Tuesday, as a cold
front pushes southward into the region, increasing onshore winds,
building seas and leading to a rise in shower and thunderstorm
chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 115 PM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Diminishing shower chances along the Treasure Coast and adjacent
coastal waters into this afternoon. N/NNE morning winds
increasing to 10-15 kts inland and 15-20 kts along the coast;
frequent higher gusts during the afternoon, with northerly wind
speeds diminishing this evening to light. Mainly VFR conditions
thru this evening, then an increasing patchy fog potential
overnight into early Sat morning as low-level winds finally
decrease and skies become MClear. Greatest fog risk lies across
the I-4 corridor. Weaker pressure gradient in place on Sat with
generally a light "offshore" wind component becoming onshore in
the afternoon along the coast with sea breeze formation.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 315 AM EDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Sensitive to near-critical fire weather conditions are forecast
across the area today, with sensitive fire weather conditions
continuing into the weekend. High pressure north of the area will
maintain breezy northeast winds today, especially along the coast
where speeds will increase up to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 to
30 mph. Wind speeds will be a tad less across the interior, but
still elevated around 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 to 25 mph.
Near Red Flag conditions are possible this afternoon across the
interior as Min RH values fall to 35 to 40 percent. High pressure
then builds southward into the Gulf and across the area this
weekend. While this will allow winds to diminish to 5 to 10 mph,
the dry airmass in place will allow afternoon Min RH values to
fall to critical values, between 25 to 35 percent for much of the
area both Saturday and Sunday. Dispersion values will range from
Very Good to Excellent today and Generally Good to Very Good
Saturday. The breezy winds today and higher dispersion values may
lead to control problems of new or existing brush fires.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  50  81  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  53  81  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  55  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  55  77  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  50  81  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  50  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  53  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  54  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ570-572-575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Weitlich
AVIATION...Sedlock

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion