Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

784
FXUS62 KMLB 121133
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
633 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 345 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

- Sunny and pleasant this afternoon after a cold morning.

- Slightly above normal temperatures this weekend with some
  increase in clouds, especially south of Orlando as a warm front
  drifts northward.

- The next cold front will sweep through Sunday evening/night.
  Turning noticeably cooler but strong north to northeast winds
  will produce very hazardous boating and surf conditions early
  next week. Windy along the coast with beach erosion possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 345 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

Today-Sat...Sfc high centered over north-central FL today will
move east over the SW Atlc Sat while a trailing ridge axis remains
across central FL. This will produce a light wind regime with a
light onshore flow developing each afternoon as a result of the
sea breeze. After chilly temperatures in the 40s this morning
under excellent radiational cooling conditions, a pleasant
afternoon is forecast with full sunshine and near seasonable
highs in the low to mid 70s. Not as chilly tonight with most areas
holding in the 50s, except mid to upper 40s north of Orlando. A
little more clouds will creep in Sat but another pleasant day with
slightly above normal temps reaching the mid to upper 70s. Dry
conditions through at least sunset Sat.

Sat night-Mon...The old front to our south will lift northward
some as a warm front and bring an increase in clouds and a chance
for showers and isolated storms south of Orlando Sat night and
early Sun. The next cold front will push quickly south across the
area late Sun/Sun night. No rain is expected with the front. But
the main impact will be increased winds SUn night and Mon as
strong high pressure (1040mb) builds SE across the eastern CONUS.
The north to northeast pressure gradient will support a period of
windy conditions along the coast with Wind Advisories possible
Sun night into Monday. While it will become noticeably cooler with
max temps holding in the 60s on Monday, because the winds turn
onshore so quickly, the cold continental airmass will quickly
modify over EC FL sparing us any freeze concerns.

Rough, pounding surf and minor beach erosion will accompany the
strong north to northeast winds immediately behind this front Sun
night into Mon but fortunately the duration will be short, likely
encompassing just 1-2 high tide cycles.

Tue-Thu...The strong high will weaken as it settles southward
over GA then shifts eastward over the Atlc. A trailing ridge axis
will remain near 30N lat so a general easterly flow will dominate
Tue-Wed at 10-15 mph veering SE Thu 10 mph. Mainly dry though
isolated Atlc showers may push onshore the coast from time to
time. Temperatures will undergo a warming trend each day reaching
the upper 70s/near 80 Thu (mid 70s coastal Volusia). Lows will
generally be in the 50s, holding in the lower 60s along the coast
by Thu morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 345 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

High pressure nearby will produce favorable boating conditions
today and Sat with light winds and seas 2 FT nearshore today and
1-2 FT Sat. Seas in the Gulf Stream will fall below 5 FT this
morning and below 4 FT this eve. Dry conditions through Sat then
scattered showers and isolated storms Sat night into Sun across
the southern waters as a warm front drifts northward from south
FL. NW flow 10-15 KT on Sunday will sharply increase late Sun/Sun
night out of the north as strong high pressure builds over the
waters behind a cold front. The tight north-northeast pressure
gradient will support wind speeds 20-30 knots with gusts to Gale
force Sunday night. Seas will rapidly build 6-9 FT nearshore and
up to 12 ft in the Gulf Stream. NE winds decrease 15-20 knots by
late Mon and veer E/NE Tue at 10-15 knots. Seas will be slower to
subside, reaching 4-5 FT nearshore Tue with lingering 7 FT seas in
the Gulf Stream.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 614 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

Dry VFR conditions prevail at ECFL terminals today with clear
skies and mostly light/VRB winds, other than a weak sea breeze
shifting winds onshore around 7 kts at KTIX-KSUA in the afternoon,
as the center of high pressure moves over the area. Models are
starting to indicate low (20% or less) chances for MVFR VIS
reductions late tonight into early Saturday morning from fog, but
best consensus is south of KMCO and west of KMLB-KSUA, so keeping
TAFs VFR at this time. Light easterly flow develops Saturday as
the high shifts offshore.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  71  51  75  56 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  72  54  77  59 /   0   0   0  10
MLB  73  57  76  61 /   0   0   0  20
VRB  74  57  78  61 /   0   0   0  30
LEE  72  50  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  72  51  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  72  54  76  59 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  75  57  78  61 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Haley

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion