Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

358
FXUS62 KMLB 131057
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
657 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

- Rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip currents
  will persist at area beaches today. Entering the hazardous surf
  is not advised.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist across much
  of the coastal waters today.

- Remaining dry over the next several days, with temperatures
  continuing to gradually warm through the week and into the
  weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Today-Tonight...High pressure centered offshore the northeast U.S.
coast will extend across north Florida today, allowing the pressure
gradient to relax slightly. Breezy onshore winds around 15 mph will
still develop this afternoon along the coast, south of the Cape, but
will range from 10-15 mph elsewhere across east central Florida,
with gusts up to 20-25 mph. Ridge aloft and dry airmass (PW values
0.5-0.7") will continue to expand across Florida, keeping rain
chances out of the forecast. Onshore winds will keep warmest temps
inland, with highs in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees along the
coast and low 80s for much of the interior, except Lake County where
mid 80s are forecast. Winds then diminish into tonight, but will
still be 10-15 mph through this evening at coastal locations south
of the Cape. Overnight lows will range from the upper 50s/low 60s
across the interior and mid to upper 60s at the coast.

A moderate onshore breeze and lingering swells over the waters will
maintain rough surf and a High Risk for life-threatening rip
currents at area beaches today. Entering the surf is not advised.

Tuesday-Sunday...Ridge axis of high pressure over the Atlantic will
remain north of the area through much of the week, gradually
settling farther southward across central Florida late week and into
the weekend. This will allow low level onshore winds to weaken and
will combine with ridge aloft to keep a dry weather pattern in place
and also continue a gradual warming trend over the next several
days. Highs in the low to mid 80s into midweek, will increase to the
mid to upper 80s across the interior Thursday, with low 90s then
forecast across inland areas Friday and into the weekend. These
temperatures will be near record values for inland sites, and can`t
rule out a tied or broken max temp, mainly at Leesburg Friday
through Sunday. Lows each night will fall into the 60s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions continue today
into tonight, with dry conditions prevailing. Ridge axis of high
pressure over the Atlantic will remain just north of the waters
today, allowing the pressure gradient to relax slightly. However,
easterly winds south of the Cape will still reach as high as 15-20
knots through this morning and again from late afternoon into this
evening. Otherwise, onshore winds will generally be 10-15 knots,
with seas up to 5-7 feet this morning gradually subsiding to 4-6
feet this afternoon and tonight.

In terms of headlines, a Small Craft Advisory continues across the
southern Gulf Stream waters through this morning and has been
extended slightly for the offshore marine zones of Brevard County
and Treasure Coast waters through 10 AM. Small craft will then need
to continue to exercise caution across much of the coastal waters
through this afternoon and across the southern Gulf Stream waters
tonight for seas up to 6 feet.

Tuesday-Friday...Ridge axis remains near to north of the waters
through the remainder of the week, with onshore flow largely
prevailing and decreasing to 5-15 knots. Seas diminish to 3-5 feet
Tuesday/Wednesday and 3-4 feet into late week leading to more
favorable boating conditions. Dry conditions forecast to
continue through the next several days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 623 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all ECFL terminals through the TAF
period. Easterly winds continue, increasing from 5-10 kts early
this morning to 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts after 14Z. Winds
then settle back to 5-10 kts for the most part after 00Z, closer
to 10 kts at KMLB-KSUA, and could go light/VRB at KDAB. More
relaxed winds expected Tuesday. Dry conditions continue.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Onshore winds decrease slightly through early this week as high
pressure ridge settles closer to the area. However, easterly winds
will still become breezy this afternoon south of the Cape, around 15
mph, with speeds closer to 10-15 mph elsewhere across east central
Florida today and again on Tuesday. Wind gusts will reach up to 20-
25 mph today and around 20 mph on Tuesday. Dry conditions are
forecast to prevail through the work week, with a gradual warming
trend taking place over the next several days. Min RH values as low
as 35-40 percent will be possible across Lake County today and
Tuesday, and may then drop to more critical values in the low to mid
30s near to west of the I-4 corridor into mid to late week. However,
onshore winds will be even weaker across the interior during this
time frame, around 5-10 mph. Dispersion values will be Very Good
today and Good to Very Good on Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  80  62  81  61 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  83  63  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  79  67  80  65 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  80  65  80  63 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  85  61  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  83  61  85  60 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  83  63  85  62 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  80  64  80  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for AMZ555.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ572-575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Weitlich
AVIATION...Haley

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion