Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026 Storm Names

901
FXUS62 KMLB 011058
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
658 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 211 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

- Hot and muggy conditions continue the rest of the week and into
  the holiday weekend, with peak heat indices in the U90s to
  L-M100s each afternoon. Widespread Moderate to Major HeatRisk
  forecast each day.

- Deep moisture with a nearby frontal boundary will result in
  scattered to locally numerous showers and lightning storms
  through Thursday with potentially higher than normal rain
  chances continuing into the Fourth of July weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Current-Tonight...Weak frontal boundary near the area with deep
moisture in place will continue to provide a focus for onshore-
moving showers and lightning storms; this morning and early
afternoon across the coast and greatest coverage over the interior
into the afternoon and perhaps early evening. Primary storm impacts
include frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds 35-45 mph locally,
and torrential downpours. Quick 1-2" rainfall amounts will occur
with a couple storms, especially inland, with minor to nuisance
flooding possible - especially locations that have received
multiple rounds over the past few days. Storm motion remains slow
and toward the southwest. Convection will diminish by early
evening, though cannot rule out a stray shower along the coast
overnight.

Widespread Moderate to Major HeatRisk continues with max temps in
the U80s and a few L90s possible inland. Peak heat indices in the
U90s to L100s. Warm & humid at night with lows in the L-U70s.

Thu-Fri...Northeast to East flow continues into Thu evening, then
veers SE/S over the remainder of the period. Warming aloft with
fairly stout mid-level high pressure centered to the north, but we
will see occasional weak shortwave impulses traverse the area under
the southern periphery of the aforementioned high. A diffuse sea
breeze will be present each day pushing well inland. Rather deep,
but light, onshore flow with storm steering remaining light and
toward the west or north. Highest PoPs, scattered to locally
numerous, generally inland & south. Locally heavy rainfall will
remain a key concern in addition to lightning strikes, and locally
gusty winds. Typical warm & humid summertime conditions continue
with highs in the U80s to L90s, with peak heat indices 97-104F.
Conditions at night remain warm and muggy.

Sat-Tue...A weak overall pressure pattern remains consistent across
central FL with the Atlc ridge axis nearby. The weak surface flow
remains S/SE during the day returning to S/SSW at night. Mid-level
high pressure to the north initially weakens across the mid Atlc
coast and adjacent western Atlc, but as it gets pushed southward,
strengthens a bit across the Deep South to include north-central
FL. Will see daily sea breeze formation and push inland. Fairly
deep moisture continues across the area with typical SCT-NMRS
diurnal convective coverage each aftn/evening, though feel NBM
numbers are a bit too high. Max temps above normal in the L-M90s
with peak heat indices picking back up to 100-107F each afternoon
ahead of sea breezes and precip. Lows remain consistent in the 70s
with conditions humid.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 211 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Through Sun...Generally favorable boating conditions continue
with high moisture across the area and onshore-moving showers and
lightning storms thru Thu. NE/E winds into Thu evening will veer
SE Thu overnight and will remain generally southerly (SE/S/SSW)
into the weekend. Wind speeds remain below 15 kts and often below
10 kts thru the period. Seas 2-4 ft (up to 5 ft well offshore Cape
north later today/tonight) become 3 ft or less Fri into the
holiday weekend. Shower and storm coverage ISOLD-SCT with winds
and seas locally higher invof storms.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 655 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Light and variable winds this morning picking up out of the NE at
10 to 15 knots after 15Z. VCSH/VCTS chances also increase around
15Z as the ECSB develops and pushes inland. Continue to leave out
PROB30/TEMPOs due to uncertainty relative to whether greater
coverage will occur near the terminals. Will continue to monitor
and amend as needed. Shower and storm activity diminishes after
20Z with NE winds gradually subsiding to around 5 knots through
the overnight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  88  77  89  77 /  30  10  30  10
MCO  90  75  91  76 /  50   0  50   0
MLB  88  78  89  78 /  40  10  20   0
VRB  89  78  90  77 /  40  10  30  10
LEE  90  75  92  77 /  50   0  40  10
SFB  91  75  92  76 /  40  10  50  10
ORL  90  76  91  77 /  50   0  50  10
FPR  89  76  89  76 /  40  10  40  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sedlock
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion