National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details
281 FXUS62 KMLB 112109 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 409 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 408 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 - Scattered to numerous showers and isolated lightning storms are forecast through 6PM as a cold front continues to move southeast over east central Florida. There is a 5 percent chance for isolated damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, mainly north and west of St. Lucie county. - Temperatures fall into the 40s Thursday morning behind the front. A few normally colder locations with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s are forecast across the far north, in addition to patchy to areas of frost. - Numerous marine and coastal hazards are forecast late week and into the weekend including a High Risk of rip currents, High Surf with large breaking waves, and Minor Coastal Erosion during periods of high tide. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 408 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 Currently-Thursday... Local radar imagery shows scattered to numerous showers over east central Florida from southern Brevard county and to the south. Analysis charts show a cold front over the eastern CONUS and east central Florida which extends from low pressure (~998mb) over the northeastern CONUS. Temperatures are currently in the mid 60s to around 70 degrees north of I-4 with the low 70s to mid 80s to the south. Dew points are in the low to mid 60s north of I-4 with the mid 60s to mid 70s to the south. Winds are breezy to windy from the west- southwest at 15-20mph with gusts to 30-35mph. Scattered to numerous showers (PoPs ~ 50-67%) and isolated lightning storms are forecast through this afternoon and evening as the cold front continues to move southeast over east central Florida. Showers and lightning storms are forecast to the south of I-4 this afternoon and into this evening before rain and lightning chances end over the Treasure Coast into this evening (mainly now until 5PM). A Marginal Risk for severe storms exists over east central Florida to the north and west of St. Lucie county. Isolated stronger storms that develop will have the potential to produce occasional lightning strikes and wind gusts up to 40-50mph. Breezy to windy west-southwest winds at 15-20mph with gusts to 30-35mph are forecast to veer north behind the front this evening. Cold temperatures (~ 10-15 degrees below normal) are expected behind the cold front Thursday morning with lows in the mid 30s to low 40s along and north of I-4 with the low 40s to near 50 degrees to the south. North winds will combine with cold temperatures and result in minimum Wind Chill values in the 30s north of the Treasure Coast and as low as the low to mid 40s over the Treasure Coast. Mostly dry weather is forecast Thursday as high pressure (~ 1032mb) builds over the Deep South. Breezy north winds at 10-20mph and gusts to 25-30mph are forecast. Below normal (~ 5-10 degrees) afternoon high temperatures in the low 60s to low 70s are forecast Friday-Saturday... Expansive high pressure (~ 1040mb) is expected to build to the north of east central Florida over the eastern CONUS on Friday and over northeastern CONUS on Saturday. Onshore flow will develop on Friday with breezy east-northeast winds at 10-20mph with gusts up to 25-30mph forecast Friday and Saturday. Isolated to widely scattered onshore moving showers (PoPs ~ 20-30%) are forecast Friday afternoon and into Saturday with PWATs between 0.80-1.00" on Friday, as well as PWATs between 1.00-1.40" on Saturday. Partly cloudy to partly sunny skies are forecast with afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s Friday and the mid to upper 70s on Saturday. Low temperatures in the mid 50s to upper 60s are forecast with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Sunday-Tuesday... East to northeast winds at 10-15mph with gusts to 20-25mph are forecast into each afternoon. High pressure is forecast to gradually shift east over northeastern CONUS on Sunday and over the western Atlantic on Monday before a shortwave trough is forecast to move east-southeast over the eastern CONUS on Tuesday. Isolated to widely scattered onshore moving showers (PoPs ~ 20-30%) are forecast into each afternoon Sunday and Monday with mostly dry weather forecast on Tuesday. Afternoon highs in the mid 70s to low 80s are forecast with low temperatures in the mid 50s to upper 60s && .MARINE... Issued at 258 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 Currently-Thursday... Hazardous boating conditions are expected as a cold front continues to move southeast over the local Atlantic waters through this evening. Small Craft Advisories will be in effect for all of the east central Florida Atlantic waters this evening and into Thursday. West-southwest winds at 20-28kts are forecast to veer north into tonight before weakening into the afternoon at around 15-20kts. Seas are forecast to build to 5-7ft nearshore and to 8-10ft over the Gulf Stream into Thursday morning. Friday-Sunday... Hazardous boating conditions are expected to continue Friday and into the weekend. Isolated onshore moving showers (PoPS ~ 20%) are forecast into Friday afternoon with isolated to scattered showers (PoPs ~20-50%) on Saturday and Sunday. East-northeast winds at around 20-25kts with gusts up to 34kts are forecast to decrease into Sunday at around 15-20kts. Seas are forecast to build to 5-8 ft on Friday with seas to 9-10 ft over the Gulf Stream into Saturday and increase to 6-9ft nearshore and to 10-12ft offshore (20-60nm), as well as over the Gulf Stream. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 1149 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 Developing MVFR CIGs across the terminals from west to east and north to south. The approach of a strong cold front will bring a narrow line of SHRA/TSRA that is forecast to produce brief MVFR/IFR conditions. Timing is on track for this activity to reach LEE around 17z, followed by DAB/SFB/MCO/ISM around 18z, continuing ESE to TIX and points south after 19z-21z. TEMPOs were included for most sites, excluding SUA. Gusty winds will precede the front and stay elevated at the coast into Thu. morning. SSW winds 15-20 kt with gusts around 25-30 kt develop after 14z, veering quickly WNW behind the SHRA/TSRA activity. Conditions improve from NW to SE Wed. evening with a return to VFR for most sites after 00z Thu. Winds will remain breezy and gusty Thu with winds veering N/NE by 15Z. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 408 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2024 Thursday... Sensitive RH values are forecast on Thursday over Lake and inland Volusia counties with minimum RH values in the mid 30s to low 40s forecast. Breezy north winds at around 10-20mph and gusts to 25-30mph are forecast over east central Florida with dry conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 40 62 49 71 / 0 0 0 20 MCO 44 64 49 73 / 0 0 0 10 MLB 44 67 57 74 / 0 0 0 20 VRB 47 69 58 75 / 0 0 0 20 LEE 39 62 45 73 / 0 0 0 10 SFB 42 62 48 72 / 0 0 0 10 ORL 43 64 48 73 / 0 0 0 10 FPR 47 69 58 74 / 0 0 0 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for AMZ550-552-570- 572-575. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday for AMZ555. && $$ DISCUSSION...Fehling AVIATION...Watson
National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida
This Afternoon Thunder storm |
Tonight Thunder storm |
Thursday Partly Sunny |
Thursday Night Partly Cloudy |
Friday Mostly Sunny |
Hi ≈81°F | Lo ≈60°F | Hi ≈73°F | Lo ≈67°F | Hi ≈76°F |
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details
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