








National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details
299 FXUS62 KMLB 150700 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 300 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 202 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 - Scattered to locally numerous afternoon and evening showers, as well as lightning storms will persist through midweek with scattered coverage into late week. There is the potential for a few strong storms each day, which will have the capability of producing frequent lightning strikes, wind gusts up to 40-50 mph, and heavy rainfall with slow-moving storms. - Hot and humid conditions will lead to heat indices generally between 100-107 with a Moderate to Major HeatRisk. Residents and visitors should remain well-hydrated and seek breaks in the shade or A/C during the heat of the day. For more info about HeatRisk and heat safety tips, visit Heat.gov. - A Moderate Risk of life-threatening rip currents persists at all central Florida Atlantic beaches. Always swim near a lifeguard and never enter the water alone! && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 202 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 Today-Tuesday... KMLB radar imagery shows mostly dry weather over east central Florida with a few light isolated showers over the Brevard and Treasure Coast waters. GOES-16 satellite imagery shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Temperatures are currently in the mid 70s to low 80s with dew points in the mid 70s. A similar forecast is expected today with high pressure over the western Atlantic, as well as the eastern Gulf of America and south Florida (~1018mb). Dry weather is forecast in the morning hours before scattered to numerous showers (20-50% west of the Orlando Metro and 50-70% to the east) and lightning storms are expected to develop into the afternoon as west-southwest flow converges with the east coast sea breeze. Guidance shows PWAT values in the 1.9-2.3" range this afternoon, MUCAPE as high as 2,500-4,000 J/kg, and bulk shear between 15-35kts where sea breeze collisions occur. The main hazards will be frequent lightning, heavy rainfall (1-3" in 60-90 minutes with a 1-in-10 chance in excess of 2" up to 4" total), and wind gusts up to 40-50mph. West-southwest winds at 5-10mph with gusts up to 15-20mph are forecast before winds back onshore with the east coast sea breeze in the afternoon, mainly to the east of the Orlando Metro through midweek. Expect a similar forecast on Tuesday with a slight eastward movement of the high over south Florida and the western Atlantic. Above normal (~3-6+ degrees) afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s are forecast each afternoon with heat index values as high as 102-107F. Warm low temperatures in the mid 70s are forecast. A Moderate to Major HeatRisk exists today and Tuesday. A Major HeatRisk affects anyone without adequate cooling and hydration. Remember to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks from the heat! Wednesday-Friday... The western Atlantic ridge is expected to weaken as a major shortwave trough deepens over the western Atlantic. The result for east central Florida is slightly drier conditions as west-southwest flow converges with the east coast sea breeze, mainly from Brevard county northward on Wednesday. Scattered showers (30-60%) and lightning storms are forecast into the afternoon. On Thursday, the east coast sea breeze will push further inland with a slightly stronger east coast sea breeze which will increase the probability of precipitation (20-40%) inland. Rain chances (30-50%) increase areawide on Friday as weak perturbations pivot along the base of an upper level trough over northern Florida. The main hazards each afternoon will be frequent lightning, heavy rainfall (1-3" in 60-90 minutes), and wind gusts up to 40-50mph with the best potential for stronger storms on Friday. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s are forecast with lows in the mid to upper 70s and a Moderate to Major HeatRisk. The Weekend... Scattered to numerous showers (50-70%) and lightning storms are forecast each afternoon with a frontal boundary over the Southeastern US and northern Florida. There is the potential for strong storms each afternoon. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s are forecast with lows in the mid to upper 70s and a Moderate to Major HeatRisk.possible && .MARINE... Issued at 202 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 Today-Tuesday... Favorable boating conditions are expected. Scattered to numerous generally offshore moving showers (20-70%) and lightning storms are forecast, especially from the Brevard county waters northwards (some of which will have the potential to become strong). West- southwest winds at 10-15kts with gusts to 20kts are expected to back south- southeast into the afternoon. Seas to 2-3ft are forecast. Wednesday-Friday... Favorable boating conditions are expected. Isolated to scattered generally offshore moving showers and lightning storms are forecast on Wednesday (some of which will have the potential to become strong). Drier conditions are forecast Thursday and Friday with isolated showers (20-40%) and lightning storms forecast. West-southwest winds at 10-15kts with gusts to 20kts are expected to back south-southeast into each afternoon. Seas to 2-3ft are forecast. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 108 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 Continued mainly VFR outside of afternoon/evening convection. Light & variable winds will become SW/W up to 10 kts on Mon, but will eventually "back" (onshore 10-12 kts) at the coast with sea breeze formation and minimal/slow movement inland. Suspect ISOLD-SCT convection, generally aft 18Z but could see a few showers as early as 16Z, with the ECSB Mon afternoon and some additional showers with the quicker-moving WCSB as it sweeps across the peninsula and into east central late day. Boundary collisions will increase coverage across the eastern peninsula late afternoon-early evening to SCT-NMRS. MVFR (local IFR) with storms. Activity will diminish and/or push off the coast thru mid-late evening. Stronger collisions will promote erratic movement of cells at times. "Vicinity" wording now but TEMPO groups to gradually be added as confidence in timing/location increases with highest late day/evening coverage confined to coastal terminals. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 94 76 92 75 / 60 30 60 20 MCO 94 76 93 75 / 50 20 50 20 MLB 94 77 92 76 / 70 60 60 50 VRB 94 75 93 75 / 60 60 60 50 LEE 93 77 93 76 / 20 10 30 20 SFB 95 77 94 76 / 50 20 50 20 ORL 94 77 93 76 / 50 10 50 20 FPR 92 74 92 74 / 70 60 60 50 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Fehling AVIATION...Sedlock
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida
Today![]() Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms |
Tonight![]() Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy |
Tuesday![]() Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms |
Tuesday Night ![]() Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy |
Wednesday![]() Sunny |
| Hi 89 °F | Lo 80 °F | Hi 89 °F | Lo 82 °F | Hi 90 °F |
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details
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