Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026 Storm Names

212
FXUS62 KMLB 260622
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
222 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 222 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

- A prolonged period of hazardous to dangerous beach and boating
  conditions are forecast across east central Florida through at
  least the middle of this week. Heading to the beach and
  entering the ocean is not advised!

- Rough, dangerous surf, minor to moderate coastal flooding,
  moderate to major beach erosion, a high risk of rip currents,
  and Gale conditions are forecast over the next several days.

- Scattered onshore-moving showers are forecast over the next
  several days, with the highest rain chances focused along the
  coast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Current-Tuesday...Surface high pressure remains aligned across the
eastern CONUS as weak low pressure develops along an old frontal
boundary between the Bahamas and FL Straits. This will keep a
tight pressure gradient as persistent, gusty NERLY winds continue
across ECFL. Highest winds become sustained 20-25 mph with
frequent gusts to 30-35 mph and possibly 40 mph along the coast
today. Will continue a Wind Advisory along the coast through
00Z/8PM. Elsewhere winds across ECFL generally 15-20 mph with
frequent gusts to 25-30 mph. Winds will decrease into the evening
to around 10 mph with some higher gusts over the interior, but
still breezy (15-20 mph & gusty) at the coast. Scattered (30-50%)
onshore-moving squalls will continue today/tonight rapidly moving
from northeast to southwest and may produce isolated wind gusts
of 40-50 mph. Highest shower chances today along the coast. Brief
downpours will occur and minor flooding remains in play for
locations (coast) that receive multiple rounds, esp over the past
few days.

Elevated/gusty onshore winds will persist into Tue, but highest
rain chances shunted further south across the Treasure Coast
(40-70%), tapering back to 10-30% north/west.

Afternoon max temps remain seasonal, near 80F to L80s each day. Min
overnight temps in the M-U60s well into the interior and near 70 to
L70s toward the coast where winds remain elevated.

Plenty of dangerous coastal/marine hazards as numerous, strong, life-
threatening rip currents and rough surf remain present at all
local beaches. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect for large
breaking waves 7-11 ft in the surf zone. Entering the water is
not advised! Pounding surf and persistent long period onshore
swells will continue Moderate to Major beach erosion at times of
high tide. This significant coastal event coincides with a period
of astronomical high tides, and Minor to Moderate flooding is
also forecast. During the morning high tide cycles saltwater
flooding will impact low-lying roads, lots, docks, and yards near
the coast and intracoastal waterways. A Coastal Flood Warning
remains in effect.

Wed-Sun...High pressure across the eastern U.S. becomes
reinforced, but does show a weakening trend late in the period
as it is pushed into the western Altc with approach of a
developing low pressure system. Breezy/gusty conditions continue
into late work-week as the pgrad remains rather tight. Poor to
hazardous coastal/marine conditions continue alongside the period
of high astronomical tide cycles. Highest PoPs occur Wed/Thu (esp
Cape southward) during this period as another surge of moisture
is poised to move across the region. Near to slightly above normal
temperatures are forecast with highs in the L-M80s. Lows continue
above climo well into the 60s to L70s at least thru Sat morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 222 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Dangerous boating conditions persist across the local Atlantic
waters early this week as the area remains wedged between
strengthening high pressure to the north and a stalled boundary
and developing low pressure to the south. Northeast winds 20-30
kts and frequent gusts to around 35 kts continue with Gale
Warnings in effect. Winds gradually weaken a bit into mid/late
week but boating conditions remain hazardous as seas, too, remain
elevated in a persistent long period onshore swell. Small Craft
Advisories will take over when Gale Warnings are allowed to
expire.

Scattered, gusty, onshore-moving showers continue to today areawide,
but are shunted a bit further (mostly Cape) southward on Tue, then
rain chances with ISOLD lightning storms increase Wed-Thu
areawide.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Breezy and gusty northeast winds persist at the terminals through
the period, with wind speeds of 10 to 20 knots and gusts up to 30
knots possible, strongest along the coast. Onshore-moving showers
continue from VRB southward, returning once again to all
terminals beyond 14Z. Slight easing of wind speeds across the
interior terminals beyond 00Z. VFR conditions anticipated to
persist, though some brief MVFR CIGs cannot be ruled out in some
spots at times.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  79  68  80  71 /  50  40  10  10
MCO  82  70  82  72 /  30  30  20  10
MLB  81  71  82  72 /  40  20  30  30
VRB  83  70  83  71 /  40  30  40  60
LEE  81  65  82  68 /  20  20  10   0
SFB  81  69  82  71 /  50  40  20  10
ORL  82  69  82  72 /  30  30  30  10
FPR  82  70  83  71 /  40  30  50  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Warning until 2 AM EDT Thursday for FLZ141-154-159-
     164-347-447-647-747.

     High Surf Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for FLZ141-154-159-
     164-347-447-647-747.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ141-154-159-164-
     347-447-647-747.

AM...Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ550-552.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday for
     AMZ550-552.

     Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ555-570-572-575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sedlock
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion