Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

480
FXUS62 KMLB 150800
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
300 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 300 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025

- A Wind ADVISORY remains in effect through early this morning
  along the coast where wind gusts up to 35 mph are possible.
  Breezy to windy conditions will then continue through this
  afternoon.

- High surf and numerous rip currents will exist at area beaches
  today. Hazardous to dangerous boating conditions will also
  continue today, with poor to hazardous boating conditions
  tonight.

- Much cooler temperatures today, with highs in the 60s, but a
  gradual warm-up will then occur through the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025

Currently-Tonight...Cold front has shifted south of the area, with a
strong N/NE wind surge in its wake. This is leading to breezy/windy
conditions that will continue into today. A Wind Advisory remains in
effect through 9 AM this morning for the coastal areas east of I-95.
Gusts up to 35-40 mph have already been observed along the coast and
gusts up to 35 mph will continue to be possible through early
this morning. Winds will decrease slightly into late morning and
afternoon as pressure gradient begins to relax from high pressure
building in behind the front. However, NE winds will still be
breezy up to 15-20 mph and gusts up to 30 mph will still be possible.

These gusty winds will also lead to dangerous beach conditions, with
a high risk for rip currents, and large breaking waves of 7-9 feet
producing rough, pounding surf and minor beach erosion at area
beaches. A High Surf Advisory continues along the coast through 7 PM
this evening. A Rip Current Statement for the high risk of rip
currents also continues today into tonight.

Marine stratocu leading to cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions will
continue to push onshore across much of the area. Isolated showers
and sprinkles will be possible with this cloud cover, with greatest
potential for measurable rainfall along the coast where rain
chances around 20-30 percent are forecast. A few onshore moving
showers will continue into tonight, with cloud cover breaking up
some, but still remaining partly cloudy.

While colder air is currently building in behind the front across
north Florida, low level winds are quickly veering onshore and
will keep temperatures from dropping as low as they will northwest
of the area early this morning. Temperatures near daybreak this
morning are forecast to get as low the mid to upper 40s northwest
of I-4, and 50s to low 60s across much of the rest of the region.
Clouds and breezy NE winds will keep highs several degrees cooler
than normal, in the 60s, and lows tonight will again drop into the
mid to upper 40s NW of I-4 and into the 50s for much of the rest
of east central Florida.

Tuesday-Wednesday...High pressure across the Southeast U.S. will
shift offshore into Tuesday, with ridge axis remaining north of the
area. This will continue an onshore flow through midweek, but winds
will be lower around 10 mph Tuesday and 5-10 mph Wednesday. Mostly
dry conditions should largely prevail, but may still see some
isolated showers that can push onshore, mainly into Wednesday. A
gradual warm-up will occur, with highs rising to the low 70s Tuesday
and mid 70s for much of the area Wednesday.

Thursday-Sunday...High pressure over the Atlantic shifts east as a
weakening cold front moves through the southeast U.S. and
eventually across central Florida Friday. A gradual warm-up will
persist through late week, with highs reaching the upper 70s to
low 80s Thursday and Friday, and morning lows in the upper 50s to
low 60s. Lows are then forecast to fall as low as the low to mid
50s over the interior Friday night behind the front. However,
winds quickly veer back onshore into the weekend, with highs
Saturday and Sunday still above normal in the mid 70s to low 80s.
Low end rain chances (~20%) exist Thursday into Thursday night
for isolated shower development well ahead of the approaching
front. Otherwise, mostly dry conditions forecast Friday and into
the weekend.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025

Currently-Tonight...Hazardous to dangerous boating conditions will
continue across the waters, as a strong north-northeast breeze
behind a cold front builds seas up to 8-11 feet nearshore and up to
10-13 feet offshore this morning. A Gale Warning continues for the
Volusia County waters through 7 AM this morning for frequent gusts
to 35 knots, and a Small Craft Advisory (SCA) persists across the
Brevard County and Treasure Coast waters where occasional gusts to
gale force will still be possible. A SCA will then continue across
the entire waters today through this evening, as northeast winds
gradually decrease from 20-25 knots this morning to 15-20 knots
toward mid to late afternoon.

Winds will continue to diminish overnight to 10-15 knots out of the
E/NE, but seas will remain up to 7-8 feet, mainly over the Gulf
Stream waters where the SCA will remain in place.

Isolated to scattered showers will continue to be possible over the
waters through today into tonight, pushing toward the southwest.

Tuesday-Friday...High pressure across the Southeast U.S. will build
offshore Tuesday, with ridge axis remaining north of the area
through midweek. This will continue onshore winds across the waters
with wind speeds up to 10-15 knots Tuesday-Wednesday. Poor to
hazardous boating conditions will continue into Tuesday, as swells
will maintain seas up to 5-7 feet. A Small Craft Advisory will
continue for the Gulf Stream waters through at least Tuesday
morning, but may need to be extended further into the afternoon for
the offshore Brevard County and Treasure Coast waters. Boating
conditions then become more favorable into Wednesday as seas fall to
3-5 feet.

Winds veer S/SE Thursday and then W/SW Thursday night before a weak
cold front moves through the waters Friday, switching winds to the
N/NW. Wind speeds are forecast to remain below 15 knots through late
week, with seas 3-4 feet Thursday and building back to 3-5 feet
Friday.

Isolated to scattered showers will continue to be possible over the
waters for much of this week, with isolated storms possible mainly
over the gulf stream into Thursday night ahead of the approaching
weak front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1245 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025

Northerly winds 15-20 kts with gusts 25-30 kts being reported at
most ECFL terminals, and occasional gusts to 35 kts have been
reported along the coast late tonight behind a cold front
departing south of the area. Winds forecast to ease a little by
morning as they veer northeasterly, but still remain around 15
kts with gusts to 25 kts much of the day, before finally relaxing
going into the evening and overnight.

A band of stratus with some MVFR CIGs originally associated with
the front has stalled INVOF KMCO- KTIX, and marine strato-cu also
sporting near MVFR CIGs (BKN035 reported at KDAB) has begun to
push onshore at KDAB, which will work south and inland through the
night. This deck could dip to BKN025-BKN030 at times through the
rest of the night and most of the day, particularly along the
coast. Lower confidence when and if CIGs will lower at inland
terminals, but generally consensus suggests TEMPO MVFR is
possible after 12Z-21Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  62  51  69  55 /  20  20   0   0
MCO  63  51  72  56 /  10  10   0   0
MLB  65  55  72  60 /  20  20  10   0
VRB  68  56  72  59 /  20  20  10   0
LEE  62  46  71  52 /  10  10   0   0
SFB  63  50  72  54 /  10  10   0   0
ORL  63  50  71  55 /  10  10   0   0
FPR  68  55  73  59 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Wind Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ141-154-159-164-
     347-447-647-747.

     High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ141-154-
     159-164-347-447-647-747.

AM...Gale Warning until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ550-570.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Tuesday
     for AMZ550.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ552.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ555-572-575.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 10 AM EST Tuesday
     for AMZ570.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Weitlich
AVIATION...Haley

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion