National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details
442 FXUS62 KMLB 131254 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 854 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 854 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 - Can`t rule out some isolated showers today, mainly in the afternoon, but for most no rain chances. - Dry and increasingly warm through the week, with areawide highs in the 90s by the weekend. && .UPDATE... Issued at 854 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 Surface visibility has shown significant improvements since sunrise as spots of lingering fog and stratus continue to lift. GOES-19 PWAT analysis indicates a narrow strip of dry air across the area (PWAT ~ 0.7-0.8") this morning. A subtle recovery of moisture (PWAT ~ 1-1.2") is expected through the day, advecting from the north and west. CAMs suggest this could be enough to kickstart a few diurnal showers across portions of the north this afternoon. The shallow moisture layer and the presence of an inversion above 850-700 mb should generally limit any lightning potential. A warming trend starts today with highs reaching the mid to upper 80s. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... Issued at 325 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 Today-Tonight...Very low clouds and patchy dense fog associated with the residual frontal boundary are causing visibility reductions to less than 1 mile at times early this morning, which is expected to continue into the early morning commute. If encountering dense fog on the roads, slow down, increase following distance, and don`t use high-beam headlights. Fog and low clouds expected to push offshore with the boundary or mix out shortly after sunrise. Fairly quiet weather-wise the rest of the day as drier air filters in and weak high pressure builds over Central Florida behind the front. A gentle westerly breeze will pin the east coast sea breeze near the coast while pushing a diffuse west coast sea breeze across the state, either of which could spark a shower here or there in the afternoon and evening. Temperatures near to slightly below normal. Wednesday-Thursday...Ridging aloft builds into the Gulf from Texas-Mexico, while weak surface high pressure meanders over Florida a bit. Generally westerly flow and increasing subsidence sets the stage for dry conditions and gradually increasing daytime temperatures for East Central Florida. Highs Wednesday near normal in the M-U80s increase to above normal in the U80s-L90s Thursday. Westerly flow keeps the sea breeze pinned near the coast, meaning the coastal corridor will also partake in the warm conditions. Some inland areas could see Moderate HeatRisk impacts by Thursday. Friday-Monday...Hot. Ridging aloft builds across the Gulf and over Florida, with very good model agreement the ridge will remain in place through the first half of next week, continuing dry conditions and well above normal temperatures. Whether we reach record heat is still uncertain. One factor against is pretty high confidence the center of the mid-level high, and greatest subsidence, will remain over the Gulf. A question mark is how the surface high will evolve, and whether a weak center can be maintained (lighter winds and higher chances for near record), or it is overshadowed by the ridge axis of the Atlantic high (more mixing and lower chances for near record). Current forecast generally tops out in the M90s, a few degrees short of records. Moderate HeatRisk impacts expected across most of the area by the weekend. No mentionable rain chances. && .MARINE... Issued at 325 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 Today-Saturday...Generally favorable boating conditions. Starting to look like the doldrums as weak high pressure builds over Florida and the local Atlantic waters behind a cold front departing the area this morning, with high pressure remaining in control of conditions through the weekend. Background winds from the W-SW at 5-10 kts shift to the SSE-SE and increase to 10-15 kts in the afternoons and evenings with the sea breeze circulation. Seas 2-4 ft today subside to 2-3 ft Wednesday, and 1-3 ft Thursday through at least the weekend. A few showers and lightning storms remain possible today and tonight, mainly in the Treasure Coast waters and Gulf Stream. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 733 AM EDT Tue May 13 2025 Current IFR/LIFR conditions around east central Florida are forecast to return to VFR by 13-14Z. Then, VFR prevailing through the TAF period, with VCSH possible (low confidence) near and north of ISM/MCO/TIX this afternoon. Isolated TS cannot be ruled out in stronger storms, but dry air aloft should hinder most development of even RA. SW winds 8-12kts will back S along the coast this afternoon as the sea breeze develops. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 86 66 87 67 / 20 0 10 0 MCO 85 67 87 69 / 20 0 10 0 MLB 86 68 85 70 / 10 10 10 0 VRB 87 66 86 68 / 10 10 10 0 LEE 84 68 88 68 / 20 0 10 0 SFB 87 67 89 68 / 20 0 10 0 ORL 86 68 88 70 / 20 0 10 0 FPR 87 66 86 68 / 10 10 10 0 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Law AVIATION...Leahy
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida
This Afternoon ![]() Chance Showers |
Tonight![]() Chance Showers then Mostly Clear |
Wednesday![]() Sunny |
Wednesday Night ![]() Mostly Clear |
Thursday![]() Sunny |
Hi 84 °F | Lo 73 °F | Hi 84 °F | Lo 76 °F | Hi 85 °F |
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details
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