Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

349
FXUS62 KMLB 061947
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
247 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 247 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

- Critical fire weather conditions this afternoon; a Red Flag
  Warning is in effect until 6 pm. Low humidity and gusty winds
  persist today and Saturday.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions today, becoming hazardous
  across all of the local Atlantic again tonight, particularly in
  the Gulf Stream

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 247 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Current-Tonight... A deep layer of dry air is in place across east
central Florida this afternoon, keeping clear skies with no
mentionable precip. West winds have become breezy with peak gusts
observed between 25-30 mph at times. The combination of dry and
breezy conditions has prompted fire weather concerns, and a Red Flag
Warning remains in effect through 6PM. Gusts diminish after sunset,
but winds remain around 10 mph overnight as a dry frontal boundary
approaches central Florida. Afternoon temperatures touching the 60s
quickly cool through the 50s this evening. However, low temperatures
will hold warmer than recent nights, mostly ranging the mid to upper
40s.

Saturday-Sunday... The reinforcing front passes central Florida
early Saturday with high pressure building quickly behind. North-
northwest winds increase to 10-15 mph behind the front, shifting
onshore and becoming light on Sunday as the high pressure builds
early next week. Dry conditions persist, especially on Saturday,
continuing a period of sensitive fire weather. Low temperatures
mostly in the mid to upper 40s on Saturday morning dip into the
upper 30s to lower 40s across the interior Sunday morning. Highs
trend closer to seasonal values spreading the mid 60s to lower 70s
each afternoon.

Monday-Thursday (previous)... A daily warming trend is still on tap
for next week as mostly dry conditions persist. With high pressure
solidly in place, winds look to remain on the light side each day,
too. Normal highs for this point in February are generally in the
low to mid 70s, and we are headed for temperatures slightly above
that Tuesday through Thursday. Later in the week, a mid level
disturbance moves overhead, embedded in northwesterly flow. Despite
this, dry conditions prevail. With little rain in sight, ongoing
drought conditions are likely to worsen next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 247 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Poor to hazardous boating conditions further deteriorate tonight as a
reinforcing cold front approaches the local waters. West winds
around 15-20 kts this afternoon increase up to 25-30 kts offshore
this evening and overnight. Small Craft Advisories expand to include
all legs of the central Florida Atlantic waters at 6PM this evening.
Occasional gust to Gale force will be possible across the far
offshore portions of the Volusia and Brevard waters late tonight
into early Saturday morning. Winds shift north-northwest early
Saturday as the front passes, further building seas 6-9 ft across
the Gulf Stream. High pressure builds across the waters Sunday
allowing winds to gradually diminish throughout the day. Light
offshore flow develops Monday into mid week, and seas 4-6 ft in the
Gulf Stream continue to slowly diminish.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1218 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Clear skies through the TAF period. Few gusts to 20-25 KT both
this afternoon and Saturday afternoon. Winds turn from W/WNW today
to NNW on Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 247 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Gusty west winds and min RH values between 25-35 percent prompted a
Red Flag Warning to be issued this morning and remains in effect
through 6PM. A cold front passes central Florida early Saturday,
reinforcing the dry airmass in place. Near Red Flag conditions are
forecast west of I-95 Saturday afternoon as minRH falls between 25-
35 percent and north-northwest winds increase to around 10-15 mph.
Building high pressure will allow winds to diminish early next week,
but RH should remain sensitive. No rainfall is forecast into next
week, and ongoing drought conditions are likely to worsen.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  45  62  41  65 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  49  68  42  70 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  46  65  46  66 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  45  68  47  68 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  46  66  39  67 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  46  65  41  68 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  48  66  43  69 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  44  68  46  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for FLZ041-044>046-
     053-058-141-144-154-159-247-254-259-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday
     for AMZ550-552.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for AMZ555-570-572-
     575.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Law
AVIATION...Heil

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion