Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

963
FXUS62 KMLB 092320
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
620 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

- Dense fog will be possible across portions of east central
  Florida late tonight into Saturday morning.

- Warm and mostly dry conditions forecast again Saturday, then
  turning much cooler behind the next cold front Sunday night
  into Monday.

- Boating conditions will become hazardous behind the passing cold
  front Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Currently...The isolated showers that pushed inland from the
Treasure coast this morning dissipated early this afternoon.
Smoke plumes from several prescribed burns can be seen on KMLB
Doppler radar across EC FL. Temperatures have warmed into the
lower 80s over the interior with a sea breeze holding coastal
temperatures in the upper 70s/near 80.

Thru Sat...High pressure ridge axis will remain draped across
central Florida with a light southerly breeze. Isolated showers
may redevelop over the Atlc waters tonight and brush portions of
the Treasure coast into Sat morning. Temperatures will remain
above normal with mild overnight lows mainly in the lower 60s and
highs Sat again reaching near record highs in the low-mid 80s
interior and holding near 80F coast.

The primary concern will be patchy/areas of fog developing late
tonight and early Sat. Lingering smoke from the numerous
prescribed burns may mix with the fog and produce visibilities
less than one half mile in spots.

Sun-Mon...A cold front is forecast to cross the area during
Sunday. Model guidance continues to show a small (20%) chance for
showers across northern sections (Orlando north) assocd with the
front. Rain chances are too low to mention to the south. The front
should reach Lake and Volusia counties by late morning so max
temps there will hold in the mid 70s. To the south, more heating
will occur and max temps will reach the low to mid 80s.

A north wind shift will announce the frontal passage, becoming
breezy to windy Sunday afternoon and continuing Sunday night,
especially along the coast with gusts around 30 mph and 20-25 mph
inland. The north winds will advect noticeably colder
temperatures reaching the mid 40s north Lake/NW Volusia and 50s
most elsewhere, except Treasure coast may hold in the lower 60s
due to the quick veering of onshore flow there. There will be a
bit of wind chill Sunday night as low as 40F in far NW sections.
Max temps Monday will only reach the mid to upper 60s Orlando
north and mid 70s around Lake O. Min temps Monday night look quite
similar to the night before but with noticeably less wind.

Tue-Fri (modified)...Front will stall across the Straits of
Florida Tuesday, with mostly dry conditions and a lighter onshore
flow forecast. Model guidance then has this boundary lifting back
northward into the Florida peninsula through midweek before an
advancing trough shifts another strong cold front through the area
late week. Increasing moisture with the northward moving front
will lead to a rise in rain chances across the area, with a chance
for showers both Wednesday and Thursday (around 40-50%). Highs on
Tuesday warm slightly to the low to mid 70s and then range from
the upper 60s to mid 70s Wednesday, before dropping to the mid 60s
to low 70s on Thursday. Both GFS and ECMWF show sharply colder
temperatures Thu night/Fri behind a strong cold front with lows in
the 30s and lower 40s across most of the area Fri morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 315 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Favorable boating conditions will continue thru Sat as high
pressure ridge axis remains nearby, producing S/SE winds less
than 15 knots and seas 1-2 feet. Conditions will deteriorate
Sunday behind a cold front. Northerly winds increase to 15-25
knots behind the front through Sunday night, building seas up to
6-9 feet. Poor to hazardous boating conditions will then continue
into Monday as winds veer to the NE and gradually diminish from
15-20 knots in the morning to 10-15 knots in the afternoon, with
seas holding at 7-9 feet in the Gulf Stream. Boating conditions
are then forecast to improve into Tuesday as onshore winds
decrease to 5-10 knots and seas fall to 3-5 feet. Winds turn
offshore (west) Wed 10-15 knots with seas suppressed nearshore at 2
FT.

Isolated showers should redevelop over the Atlc tonight and early
Sat, with an increase in shower coverage forecast with the
passage of the front Sunday. A high coverage of showers and
possibly isolated storms are forecast mid next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 620 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Fog development will be possible once again across east central
Florida, with particular focus on the interior terminals and DAB.
Maintained MVFR TEMPOs for the interior terminals but adjusted the
time to 09-13Z, and added in an MVFR TEMPO at DAB, where guidance
is strongly suggesting fog development. Any fog that develops is
anticipated to clear after sunrise. After fog clears, VFR
conditions are forecast at the terminals. Light and variable
winds overnight become more southerly after 15Z tomorrow, with
wind speeds of 5 to 10 knots forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  61  81  59  74 /  10  10   0  20
MCO  62  82  62  79 /   0   0  10  20
MLB  63  79  61  78 /  10  10  10  10
VRB  63  80  60  80 /  20  20  10  10
LEE  61  81  59  73 /   0   0  10  20
SFB  61  82  61  77 /   0   0   0  20
ORL  62  82  62  77 /   0   0   0  20
FPR  62  81  60  80 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion