Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

131
FXUS62 KMLB 081055
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
655 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 335 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

- Strong to isolated severe storms will be possible this
  afternoon and evening across areas from Orlando metro and Cape
  Canaveral northward.

- Chance for showers and storms will continue each afternoon and
  evening this weekend through Monday. A few stronger storms will
  continue to be possible each day.

- Highs remain above normal through the weekend and peak heat
  indices are forecast to reach the mid to upper 90s to around
  100F (locally) for much of the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 335 AM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Today-Tonight...Latest guidance shows a weak front moving southward
into north central Florida toward late this morning/early this
afternoon. A few showers may move in ahead of the front this
morning, mainly north of Orlando. Then as moisture continues to
increase and daytime heating sets in, isolated to scattered showers
and storms will develop into this afternoon along the front and with
the inland moving sea breeze. Rain chances will largely remain north
of Okeechobee County and the Treasure Coast today, where greatest
moisture (PW values of 1.6-1.8") will exist. Highest coverage,
however, looks to remain focused near to north of Orlando this
afternoon and evening (rain chances up to 40-60%) closer to the
front.

Increasing 0-6km bulk shear values of 50-55 knots across northern
portions of east central Florida will support the development of
organized convection. A Marginal Risk (5-14% chance) for severe
storms exists today from the Orlando Metro area to the north and
east. Strong to isolated severe storms will mainly be possible from
mid afternoon through this evening as this activity develops inland
and pushes back toward the coast and offshore of Volusia and
northern Brevard counties. Lingering dry air aloft and 500mb temps
of -8 to -9C will favor frequent lightning strikes, strong to
locally damaging wind gusts to 40-60 mph and coin sized hail as the
main storm threats. However, while potential remains quite low
(

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion