Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

217
FXUS62 KMLB 190526
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
126 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026

- Dry and warm this weekend with interior sites approaching record
  highs this afternoon

- Cold front Sunday night into Monday brings windy conditions,
  cooler temperatures, and a short-lived chance for rain

- Beach and boating conditions will deteriorate Sunday night into
  early next week as winds create rough surf and building seas

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026

Today-Tonight... A deck of scattered to broken cumulus clouds has
developed across the Florida peninsula this afternoon, gradually
clearing along the coast as the sea breeze moves inland. Warm and
dry conditions continue with temperatures already reaching the mid
to upper 80s across the interior. Monitoring for highs near record
values as temperatures continue to climb. Leesburg looks to be the
closest record within reach this afternoon with a value of 90F last
set in 1990. Recent CAM runs have suggested just enough moisture in
the low levels to get a shallow shower or sprinkle along the sea
breeze collision late this afternoon and evening, but confidence in
this solution remains low. Skies become partly to mostly cloudy
overnight with low temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday-Monday... Mid-level troughing swings across the Great Lakes
region and through the eastern U.S. during the period. High
pressure`s influence flattens over Florida Sunday with troughing
becoming more pronounced along the eastern U.S. coast Monday. Light
westerly flow develops Sunday as the surface ridge axis over the
Florida peninsula retreats into the western Atlantic. A west coast
sea breeze becomes favored with delayed development of the east
coast breeze. High temperatures continue well above normal on
Sunday, largely ranging the upper 80s with a few locations near or
at 90F across the interior. Conditions become noticeably cooler
Monday as a surface front pushes south of the area, and highs remain
limited to the upper 70s and low 80s. Lingering moisture behind the
surface front and lagging energy aloft should be supportive of
scattered showers (30-50%) across portions of east central Florida
Monday, particularly south of Cape Canaveral and the Orlando metro.

Increasing northeast winds 15-25 mph spread east central Florida
behind the front on Monday. Highest wind speeds and gusts should
occur along the coast, prompting multiple coastal and marine
hazards. Large breaking waves and rough surf will become present at
area beaches, first along the Volusia coast early in the day and
building southward towards the Treasure Coast beaches late Monday
afternoon and into the evening. An increasingly dangerous rip
current risk builds Monday, and entering the rough surf is not
advised!

Tuesday-Friday... Troughing aloft moves into the western Atlantic
Tuesday. Only a brief period of zonal flow becomes established early
Wednesday before the next disturbance passes overhead into Thursday.
At the surface, high pressure builds along the eastern U.S.
seaboard, moving offshore into mid week. Onshore flow remains breezy
on Tuesday, slackening into Wednesday as the area of high pressure
weakens in the western Atlantic. A much drier airmass builds
Tuesday, particularly between 850-500mb. Model confidence in precip
remains too low to mention at this time. However, moistening low-
level flow could allow for shallow onshore moving showers Wednesday.
Temperatures remain a few degrees below normal Tuesday and Wednesday
with highs mostly in the upper 70s and low 80s. Conditions become
gradually warmer Thursday, and above normal temperatures look to
return across portions of the interior by Friday.

Rough surf and large breaking waves should continue at east central
Florida beaches on Tuesday, especially from Cape Canaveral
southward. A high risk of life-threatening rip currents is expected
to persist through much of the extended forecast period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026

Favorable boating conditions continue this weekend before
deteriorating late Sunday and into Monday as the next cold front
passes the local waters. Northeast winds spread the waters behind
the front, increasing to 25-30 kts north of the Cape early Monday
morning and 20-25 kts south of the Cape into Monday afternoon. Seas
respond, gradually building building 7-11 ft through the day
Monday. East-northeast winds 20-25 kts persist south of the Cape on
Tuesday, slackening 15-20 kts further north. Diminishing seas remain
poor to hazardous across southern legs of the waters Tuesday
becoming more favorable 3-5 ft on Wednesday. Scattered showers are
forecast over the waters Sunday night through Monday. Otherwise dry.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 125 AM EDT Sun Apr 19 2026

VFR conditions are forecast to persist at all east central Florida
terminals. Light and variable winds early this morning will pick
up out of the west around 10 knots after 14Z. Along the coast, the
development of the east coast sea breeze will lead to winds at the
coastal terminals becoming more easterly after 18Z. Low chance for
VCSH at VRB southward after 18Z. Tonight, a cold front approaches
the Florida peninsula, causing winds to shift to out of the
north- northeast at 10 to 15 knots beginning at 00Z at LEE and
expanding southward as the front moves across the peninsula. Winds
are anticipated to increase in wind speeds into tomorrow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 321 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026

Warm and dry conditions continue through Sunday afternoon. This
pattern changes Sunday night into Monday morning as the next cold
front passes central Florida. Moisture briefly recovers south of I-4
Monday before high pressure builds and dry conditions return Tuesday
into mid next week. Scattered showers are forecast south of Orlando
Monday, but rainfall accumulations are expected to remain limited.
Breezy and gusty northeast winds develop behind the front, generally
persisting through Tuesday before high pressure weakens over the
western Atlantic.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 318 AM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026

Record Highs for Saturday-Sunday (18th-19th):

                April 18th    April 19th
Daytona Beach    92 1967        92 1968
Leesburg         90 1990        92 2020
Sanford          94 1967        94 2020
Orlando          93 1922        94 1922
Melbourne        91 2015        93 2015
Vero Beach       92 2015        93 1969
Fort Pierce      94 2015        92 1988

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  88  65  77  60 /  10  10  10   0
MCO  89  67  79  59 /  10  10  10   0
MLB  85  69  78  65 /  20  20  20   0
VRB  86  68  79  65 /  30  30  40  10
LEE  88  64  80  56 /  10  10   0   0
SFB  89  66  79  57 /  10  10  10   0
ORL  89  67  80  59 /  10  10  10   0
FPR  87  68  80  64 /  30  30  50  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Law
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion