For the latest information on tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Basin and the weather conditions in Orlando and Miami Florida.

Weather Conditions in Orlando

 

National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida  

Updated: 4:14 am EDT Jul 9, 2025

Today

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Sunny then
Chance
T-storms
Hi 93 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely then
Partly Cloudy
Lo 76 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunny then
Showers
Likely
Hi 93 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Lo 77 °F
Friday

Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 94 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Lo 77 °F
Saturday

Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 94 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Lo 77 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunny then
Showers
Likely
Hi 94 °F

National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details

 

Day 1 rainfall

Day 2 rainfall

Day 3 rainfall

700
FXUS62 KMLB 090508
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
108 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 108 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

- Scattered late afternoon and evening storms today, particularly
  over the interior. Frequent lightning, gusty winds to 35-45 mph,
  and locally heavy rain will accompany the strongest storms.

- Near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures and humidity
  persist each afternoon. With peak heat index values of 100-106F,
  visitors and residents will need to stay hydrated and seek
  breaks in the shade or A/C.

- Scattered storms remain in the forecast each day, but overall
  coverage may increase next week as a slow-moving disturbance
  approaches the state.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 108 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

             -----------Synoptic Overview-----------

Florida`s weather continues to be strongly influenced by an area of
deep-layer high pressure extending across the subtropics from the W
Atlantic to the Desert Southwest. Tucked beneath the upper high is a
weak wave of energy immediately northeast of the Bahamas. In the
westerlies, a low-amplitude trough is pushing into the Ohio Valley.
Total moisture values are near normal for early July.

Over the next several days, little change to the synoptic pattern is
forecast. The easterly wave in the Atlantic is expected to be
redirected northward, generally not impacting local weather. Upper
ridging remains firmly overhead. However, the weak trough well to
our north may be enough to briefly oscillate the near-surface ridge
axis toward South Florida on Thursday and Friday before it shifts
slightly north toward Central Florida again this weekend.
Regardless, pressure patterns are loose; this suggests that the
sea breezes should be able to form each day.

08/12Z ensemble cluster analysis continues to show a TUTT (tropical
upper tropospheric trough) approaching the Bahamas sometime in the
first half of next week. More importantly, several members also
suggest that a well-defined mid-level wave will transit slowly
westward across Florida. Coincident with this, the surface ridge
axis is forecast to shift southward as moisture increases.

             -------Sensible Weather & Impacts-------

Today...

The overall setup is fairly unchanged from yesterday, and HREF
members seem to have high confidence in the evolution of scattered
storms today. Aside from some isolated activity on the advancing sea
breeze, we anticipate that the majority of showers and storms will
be focused over the interior (50-60%) this afternoon and early
evening, with lesser chances (30-50%) along the coast. Mid-level
lapse rates look more impressive, leading to strong instability.
Brief wind gusts to 45 mph, frequent lightning, and torrential rain
due to slow storm motions remain the primary threats. Seasonably hot
and humid with heat indices reaching up to around 106 deg F.

Thursday-Weekend...

Surface high pressure slips a little farther south on Thursday and
Friday, however, prevailing light winds will allow sea breeze
formation each day. The focus of showers and storms looks a little
closer to the coast and across South Central Florida on Thursday and
Friday, with members now indicating somewhat drier air closer to the
I-4 corridor.

This weekend, the surface ridge axis is forecast to return northward
toward Central Florida. Seasonable coverage of afternoon and evening
storms, mainly focused over the interior, can be expected.

Quick heating in the morning and early afternoon will allow heat
indices to bounce up to as high as 106 deg F. Those working or
playing outdoors should know the signs of heat illness and never
leave children or pets in unattended vehicles.

Early Next Week...

A pattern change still appears to be favored as disturbances
approach from the Atlantic, forcing the surface high southward while
enhancing local moisture convergence. This should introduce higher
coverage of showers and storms across Central Florida. This
unsettled setup may last well into next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 108 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Surface high pressure will remain over Central Florida and the
adjacent Atlantic waters today before slipping toward South Florida
late in the work week. While stronger storms should mostly remain
over land, a few showers and storms are in the forecast,
particularly in the overnight and morning hours. This weekend, the
high shifts back toward Central Florida. The sea breeze should form
each day, enhancing southeast winds at the coast. Generally
favorable boating conditions persist.

Seas 1-3 FT through the weekend. Southerly-component winds (SE off
the Treasure Coast, and more SW north of Cape Canaveral) up to 12 KT
each day, turning onshore at the coast in the afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 108 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

VFR conditions forecast through the early morning hours, with light
and variable winds picking up out of the WSW after 15Z. The ECSB is
forecast to develop and move inland late morning/early afternoon,
with winds backing to out of the ESE along the coast and at all
interior terminals except LEE. VCTS possible along the sea breeze,
with greatest coverage focused across the interior after 20Z
following the sea breeze collision. Have added TEMPOs at MCO, ISM,
and SFB for MVFR conditions due to TSRA between 20-24Z. Activity is
forecast to diminish after 02Z, with winds once again becoming light
and variable at all terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  90  75  91  75 /  60  40  60  10
MCO  94  76  93  77 /  60  40  60  20
MLB  90  76  91  76 /  40  20  50  20
VRB  90  73  91  73 /  40  20  50  20
LEE  91  76  92  76 /  60  50  50  10
SFB  93  76  93  77 /  60  50  60  20
ORL  93  76  93  77 /  60  40  60  20
FPR  90  73  91  74 /  40  20  50  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Heil
AVIATION...Tollefsen

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion

Weather Conditions in Miami

 

National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida

Updated: 3:32 am EDT Jul 9, 2025

 
Today

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 9am and 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. North wind 6 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Chance
T-storms

Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 81. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Thursday

Thursday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the morning.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 82. Southeast wind around 9 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Friday

Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Southeast wind around 11 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Hi 87 °F Lo 81 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 82 °F Hi 87 °F
 

National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details

 

Day 1 rainfall

Day 2 rainfall

Day 3 rainfall

Saharan Air Layer

Wind Shear Tendency

Sea Surface Temperatures

Sea Surface Temperatures Anomalies

200hPa Velocity Potential Forecast