Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

983
FXUS62 KMLB 232010 CCA
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
304 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 205 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

- High Fire Danger across the area today due to breezy northwest
  winds and critically low RH values, with fire sensitive
  conditions persisting through midweek.

- Colder than normal temperatures will persist through early this
  week. Freezing temperatures and low wind chills forecast for
  much of the area tonight, with an increased potential for frost
  Wednesday morning.

- Hazardous boating conditions will continue across the coastal
  waters today into tonight, becoming poor to hazardous Tuesday.

- A High Risk for rip currents exists at area beaches today.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

Rest of Today-Tuesday...It`s a brisk day across east central
Florida, with breezy northwesterly winds and gusts 20-30 mph.
Highs so far this afternoon remain in the 50s across the area,
even down to the Treasure Coast. A few record cool highs are
still under threat at Leesburg and Fort Pierce (see the Climate
section for more details).

Breezy conditions will diminish this evening. However, continued
winds 5-10 mph inland and 10-15 mph along the coast will
contribute to a wind chill threat overnight tonight. Clear skies
and low dew points in the 20s will allow overnight lows to fall
into the 30s area-wide overnight. A Freeze Warning remains in effect
for all but the Brevard barrier islands, areas east of I-95 south of
SR-528 in Brevard County through St Lucie County, and all of Martin
County. Lows in the Freeze Warning are forecast as low as near 30
degrees, with the exception of the Orlando metro which will likely
remain just above freezing. A few spots in coastal portions of
Brevard, Indian River, and St Lucie Counties, as well as inland
Martin County, could approach 32 degrees near sunrise. However, this
will likely be brief and confidence in seeing freezing temperatures
is too low to include in the Freeze Warning at this time. Instead,
all of east central Florida remains under a Cold Weather Advisory
due to wind chills 22-30 degrees. Residents and visitors are advised
to dress appropriately, practice space heater safety, bring pets
indoors, and protect sensitive plants.

Dry conditions persist through Tuesday, as high pressure builds
into the area. Northwest winds 5-10 mph in the morning will
slacken into the afternoon, as high pressure moves over the
peninsula. Temperatures will remain below normal, though slightly
higher than Monday afternoon. Highs are forecast in the upper 50s
to lower 60s. The proximity of the high will create favorable
radiational cooling conditions Tuesday night, with light winds and
clear skies. Temperatures falling into the 30s to lower 40s once
again look to remain just above freezing, with the exception of
normally cooler, rural locations. However, areas of frost are
forecast and Frost Advisories appear likely for much of the area.
So, residents will want to continue to protect sensitive
vegetation.

Wednesday-Thursday...After a frosty start on Wednesday, a warming
trend begins by Wednesday afternoon, as highs reach near normal in
the lower to mid-70s. High pressure drifts eastward across the
Florida peninsula through Thursday, continuing the dry conditions.
However, increasing southwesterly flow will begin to advect more
moisture into the area ahead of an approaching front on Thursday.
Thursday morning lows in the 40s warm into the upper 70s and lower
80s by the afternoon.

Friday-Monday...A pattern shift is forecast for this weekend, as a
cold front moves through the Southeast US and stalls near the
local area. Increased moisture will lead to the return of rain
chances by Friday, with scattered showers then remaining possible
for the weekend. Confidence in rainfall amounts remains low, but
this looks to be the best chance for widespread beneficial
rainfall in at least several weeks. A few lightning storms will
be possible with the presence of modest instability. High
temperatures in the 80s Friday will cool into the 70s across
coastal areas this weekend, due to increasing onshore flow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 205 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

Hazardous boating conditions continue across the local Atlantic
waters through tonight, due to northwest winds 20-25 kts, though
seas up to 6-12 ft this afternoon will diminish to 6-9 ft by
sunrise. High pressure builds across the peninsula and into the
Atlantic through midweek, reducing wind speeds as they veer from
northwest to south and southwest and improving conditions.
However, poor boating conditions will linger into Tuesday night,
particularly in the Gulf Stream due to seas up to 6 ft. A front
then approaches late week and into the weekend, bringing
increasing chances for showers and a few storms as it stalls near
the area. A period of breezy offshore winds 15-20 kts is forecast
Thursday evening into Thursday night, especially offshore, as the
pressure gradient tightens.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1241 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

VFR conditions with clear skies through the TAF period. Breezy and
gusty today with NW winds 15-20 KT with gusts 25-30 KT. Winds
begin to diminish after 22Z along the coast (decreasing to around
12 KT with gusts to around 20 KT), before all terminals decrease
to around 10 KTs or less between 00Z-04Z. NW winds will remain
5-10 KT through Tuesday, with winds becoming light late Tuesday
afternoon as the high pressure moves over the Florida peninsula.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 205 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect through 7 PM, as critical fire
weather conditions continue this afternoon. Breezy northwest winds,
with sustained speeds around 15 to 20 mph and gusts between 25 to 35
mph combine with Min RH values in the 20s to produce a heightened
risk for wildfire development and spread today. As high pressure
builds across the area into mid-week, winds will reduce to around 5-
10 mph through Wednesday. However, very sensitive fire weather
conditions will persist due to continued critical in the min RH
20s and 30s and drought.

By Thursday, southwest winds will begin to increase moisture ahead
of an approaching cold front. However, min RH looks to remain as
low as 35-45% for most areas and a tightening pressure gradient
will increase southwesterly winds to 10-15 mph. By Friday and into
the weekend, a stalled front will provide relief in the form of
increased moisture and rain chances, though a few lightning storms
will be possible.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 321 AM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

Highs will be around 15 degrees colder than normal today, and
there is a chance for max temps to tie or break record cool highs
at a few spots. Greatest potential will be at Leesburg and Fort
Pierce.

Record Cool Highs for Today, February 23rd:

Site:      Record Cool Highs
Daytona         52 1989
Leesburg        57 1964
Sanford         50 1978
Orlando         54 1989
Melbourne       53 1939
Vero Beach      53 1978
Fort Pierce     60 1989

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  32  60  35  72 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  34  61  37  73 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  34  61  38  73 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  34  62  37  74 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  32  60  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  33  61  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  35  61  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  33  63  36  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ041-044>046-
     053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-
     747.

     Cold Weather Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EST Tuesday for FLZ041-
     044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-
     547-647-747.

     Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM EST Tuesday for FLZ041-044>046-
     053-058-141-144-247-254-259-347-547.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ550-552.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ555-572-575.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ570.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Leahy
AVIATION...Watson

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion