Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

517
FXUS62 KMLB 291120
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
620 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 345 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

- A brief respite from frost and freeze conditions tonight and
  Friday night with near seasonable high temperatures Friday
  around 70F.

- Rare, Significant Arctic Cold Outbreak Arrives Saturday Night.
  The current forecast calls for low temperatures in the 20s,
  along with wind chills in the teens, both Sunday and Monday
  mornings.

- Windy conditions develop Saturday afternoon and night with high
  chance of peak wind gusts 35 to 45 mph. Dangerous Gale
  conditions are forecast to develop over the Atlantic waters.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 345 AM EST Thu Jan 29 2026

Today-Fri...High pressure maintains a mostly dry weather pattern
with a slow warming trend. Wind flow turns NE today and max temps
climb a few degrees from yesterday yet remaining below normal in
the 60s under mostly sunny skies. No freeze concerns tonight as
temps hold in the 40s except upper 30s far NW with patchy frost.
Some moisture will get pulled northward Fri and bring a small
shower chance to the Treasure coast, otherwise dry with near
seasonable temperatures for a change around 70/low 70s. This
warming trend will be short-lived, however.

Sat-Wed...Broad area of low pressure is forecast to form very
close to Florida Fri night before lifting into the Atlantic and
developing into a nor`easter. As it passes by early Saturday,
rain chances have lowered especially across the north (now 20%)
while still carrying 30-40% south of Orlando. Rainfall amounts
look quite meager, less than one tenth /0.10/ of an inch. By late
Sat morning and into the afternoon, a cold front passes through
the area. The initial impact will be a burst of strong west-
northwest winds. Forecast model soundings remain consistent
showing peak wind gusts from 35-45 mph for Saturday late afternoon
and evening as the low pressure rapidly deepens offshore.

Winds veer slightly more out of the northwest on Saturday night,
pushing Arctic air down the peninsula with little to no Gulf
modification as parcel trajectories originate from the Panhandle
and points north. Daily record lows are anticipated on Sunday
morning. An additional freeze/hard freeze anticipated on Monday
morning. Temperatures only slowly moderate with another freeze
Tue morning over the interior.

Extreme cold risks have remained consistent over the last several
updates:

SUNDAY AM: There is a 60-90% chance of a hard freeze (046-053-058-141-144-247-254-259-347-547-647.

     Frost Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ141-247-254-
     547.

AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kelly
AVIATION...Haley

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion