








National Weather Service Forecast for: Orlando, Florida Forecast Details
699 FXUS62 KMLB 271804 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 104 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 100 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 - Rain chances and the potential for a few storms increase this afternoon, continuing through Saturday as a front approaches and slowly sinks southward across central FL; a strong storm producing gusty winds or hail cannot be ruled out especially Saturday. - Near to above normal temperatures through next week, coastal showers possible each day next week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 230 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 Today-Saturday...We are monitoring the potential for fog development early this morning, particularly across interior and southern portions of east central Florida. Night fog satellite imagery and traffic cameras are indicating the beginning of some patchy fog in Martin and southern St. Lucie counties. Model guidance suggests the most likely areas for fog are situated near Lake Okeechobee and the Kissimmee River. Motorists should slow down, use low-beam headlights, and create plenty of following distance when encountering lower visibility. Temperatures will warm quickly today, reaching the 80s (7-10 degrees above normal) early in the afternoon. Southwest winds of 10 to 15 mph should help spread PW of 1.6-1.8"+ across central Florida during peak heating. Temperatures aloft between -10C (south) and -12C (north) will be present, along with moderately steep low-level lapse rates. Hi-res guidance hints at a few unorganized showers by midday, but those are likely to struggle in overcoming a stout 700-500mb dry layer. Scattered showers and a few storms are more likely to develop after convective temperatures are reached by mid to late afternoon. Additionally, the east coast sea breeze and a mid-level shortwave will provide additional forcing for ascent. Rain chances increase to 60-70 percent, especially from Vero Beach northward. A strong storm or two cannot be ruled out due to the cold temps aloft and efficient sfc-800mb parcel cooling, particularly where these conditions overlap with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE (Orlando southward). That said, mid-level lapse rates are more limiting. Gusty winds and hail would be the primary concerns, though any storm-scale collision with the sea breeze will be monitored for brief rotation. Rain chances remain medium to high (40-70 percent) overnight as a front slowly moves south across the Florida Peninsula. Showers may become more isolated to scattered in nature Saturday morning, before additional development along the front occurs Saturday afternoon. The highest rain chances will shift south in time, focusing from Melbourne to points south. Again, a couple of lightning storms cannot be ruled out. Cloud cover will keep temperatures closer to normal Saturday, warming the most along the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee. In total, from today through Saturday evening, most likely rain totals range from 0.5" in Martin County to 0.75-1.5" over much of east central Florida. There is a 60-80 percent chance of 1" or greater from the Orlando Metro to Brevard, Osceola, and northern portions of Indian River County. Locally higher amounts of 2"+ are possible along the coast and also where repeated rounds of moderate to heavy rain occur. Sunday-Thursday...Broad 500mb troughing lingers over the area Sunday before moving seaward early in the week, allowing ridging to build Tuesday-Thursday. Surface high pressure builds east from the Upper Midwest to the Northeast Sunday and Monday, led by a weakening front that stalls over north FL Tuesday and Wednesday. A breezy northeast wind Sunday veers easterly from Monday onward. Gusts at times could reach 20 mph in the afternoon hours (up to 25 mph at the coast). The east coast breeze will likely form each day, moving inland fairly quick. Near normal temperatures warm to above normal again Monday through Thursday with the warmest locations across interior ECFL. On Sunday, model soundings look drier overall, but a few onshore-moving showers cannot be ruled out. Slightly better chances for coastal showers return during the work week (still only around 15-30 percent). && .MARINE... Issued at 230 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 Light southerly winds and generally favorable boating conditions persist today through Saturday morning. A front is forecast to approach and push across the local waters during the day on Saturday. Onshore flow returns later this weekend into early next week, introducing poor to hazardous boating conditions (seas up to 8 feet) by Tuesday. Isolated showers this morning gradually shift offshore before scattered rain and a few storms develop later this afternoon and evening. High rain chances continue overnight into Saturday morning, especially north of Sebastian Inlet. As the front moves south across the waters Saturday afternoon and evening, higher rain chances gradually shift south and increasingly offshore. A strong storm capable of wind gusts greater than 30 knots, lightning strikes, and hail cannot be ruled out each afternoon and evening. Seas generally 1-3 feet, except where locally higher near lightning storms. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 100 PM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 Scattered SHRA moving east from the Gulf will develop into TSRA across northern terminals, incl MCO/SFB/DAB, late this afternoon into early eve. The east coast sea breeze has formed along the Treasure coast and will produce a wind shift at MLB-SUA by 19-20Z. Add`l SHRA/TSRA should affect southern terminals as a result of sea breeze convergence and this activity should linger longer into the night. May need to add another TEMPO group for some of the southern terminals after 01Z. A north wind shift will reach DAB/LEE assocd with a cold front by 12Z and slowly settle southward during Sat. Widespread IFR/LIFR CIGs will develop aft 05Z across northern terminals and persist through at least 15Z. Another round of TSRA is forecast Sat aftn along and south of the front with isolated strong to severe storms south of MCO. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 230 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026 Southwest winds are forecast to reach 10-15 mph this afternoon, turning onshore at the immediate coast as the east coast breeze forms. Rain chances increase through the day, particularly this afternoon and evening. Isolated lightning storms are possible, bringing the risk for additional fire starts. A strong storm capable of gusty winds and small hail cannot be ruled out. High rain chances (60-70 percent) continue overnight into Saturday as a front slowly moves across the area. Showers and a few storms are forecast Saturday afternoon (mainly south of Cape Canaveral). Patchy fog is possible across much of east central Florida this morning. Areas of locally dense fog may develop around Lake Okeechobee and near the Kissimmee River. Smoke from new or existing fires may also lead to localized visibility reductions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 59 71 55 73 / 80 50 20 10 MCO 64 76 59 77 / 80 60 20 10 MLB 61 76 59 75 / 80 60 40 20 VRB 61 79 60 76 / 70 60 50 20 LEE 61 76 55 78 / 80 60 10 10 SFB 61 75 56 76 / 80 60 20 10 ORL 63 76 58 77 / 80 60 20 10 FPR 61 79 59 77 / 70 60 50 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Schaper AVIATION...Kelly
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida
| This Afternoon ![]() Sunny |
Tonight![]() Slight Chance T-storms then Mostly Cloudy |
Saturday![]() Partly Sunny then Chance Showers |
Saturday Night ![]() Chance Showers |
Sunday![]() Chance Showers then Chance T-storms |
| Hi 78 °F | Lo 71 °F | Hi 80 °F | Lo 70 °F | Hi 78 °F |
National Weather Service Forecast for: Miami, Florida Forecast Details
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