Atlantic Hurricane Season 2025 Storm Names

093
FXUS62 KMLB 240815
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
315 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 315 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

- Critically low RH values will continue very sensitive fire
  weather conditions through midweek.

- Well below normal temperatures continue through tonight. A
  Freeze Warning and Cold Weather Advisory continue for much of
  the region through 9 AM this morning. A Frost Advisory has been
  issued for much of the area tonight into early Wednesday
  morning.

- Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue, mainly
  across the Gulf Stream waters today.

- A High Risk for rip currents persists at area beaches today.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

Today-Tonight...Cold start this morning, with morning lows forecast
in the 30s for much of the area and wind chills in the 20s. A Freeze
Warning continues through 9 AM for much of the region, except the
immediate coast from Brevard County southward and all of Martin
County. A Cold Weather Advisory for the lower wind chill values also
continues through 9 AM for all of east central FL. Residents and
visitors are advised to dress appropriately for the colder weather,
practice space heater safety, bring pets indoors, and protect
sensitive plants.

High pressure builds in from the west through today into tonight,
which will allow north-northwest winds to decrease to around 5-10
mph. Max temps will be be a little higher than yesterday in the low
to mid 60s, but these values will still be around 15 degrees below
normal. Despite relatively lighter winds and below normal
temperatures, the dry airmass in place will produce very low RH
values again from late morning through early evening. This combined
with the ongoing drought which will keep the fire danger elevated
across the area today.

Another colder night is in store tonight as light winds, mostly
clear skies and dry airmass lead to favorable radiational cooling
conditions. Temperatures will fall quickly after sunset, with lows
falling again into the 30s. May see a few normally colder spots
reach the freezing mark NW of I-4 and rural inland spots of
Osceola/Okeechobee counties. However, min temps mostly forecast to
remain above freezing, but still cold enough with light winds to
lead to areas to widespread frost development across much of the
mainland. Frost will be more patchy or non existent across Orlando
metro area and also along the barrier islands. A Frost Advisory
has been issued for almost the entire east central FL area, except
barrier island zones of Brevard County and across Martin County.
Residents will once again want to continue to protect any
sensitive vegetation.

Wednesday-Thursday...Dry conditions continue through midweek, with a
warming trend taking hold as high pressure builds eastward and winds
switch to the south-southwest. Highs will be closer to normal on
Wednesday as they rise into the 70s, with max temps then above
normal on Thursday, reaching the upper 70s to low 80s. It will still
be somewhat chilly into Wednesday night, with lows in the 40s, but
min temps will then be slightly above normal in the mid 50s to low
60s on Thursday night.

Friday-Monday...A cold front across the southeast U.S. will move
toward Florida Friday. Models have this boundary sliding into
central FL either Friday night or Saturday before gradually pushing
southward into late weekend. This will lead to increasing rain
chances and a low end potential for thunderstorms, especially from
Friday afternoon through Friday night and into Saturday as boundary
nears and slows down. PoPs increase from 40-50 percent Friday, to 60-
70 percent Friday night into Saturday. GFS and ECMWF show varying
rainfall amounts from this system, but are showing at least the
potential for some beneficial rainfall from this system from late
week into Saturday. As the boundary shifts south, low end rain
chances around 20-30 percent will linger as onshore flow develops
with strong area of high pressure well north of the area. This will
favor isolated to scattered onshore moving showers into early next
week. Temperatures are forecast to remain near to above normal
through the period, with warmest max temps in the low to mid 80s
on Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 315 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions will persist,
mainly across the Gulf Stream waters today into tonight. High
pressure will gradually build in from the west and across Florida
later today into tonight. This will allow NW winds to diminish
through the day, from around 15-20 knots early this morning to 10-15
knots this afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory continues for the
entire waters through 7 AM this morning, and will then linger into
the afternoon across the Gulf Stream waters for seas up to 7-8 feet.
Small craft will still need to exercise caution over the Gulf Stream
from late afternoon into the early evening as seas continue to
slowly subside, with seas then falling to 3-5 feet overnight.

Wednesday-Saturday...High pressure pushes eastward into the
Atlantic, with ridge axis remaining across the FL peninsula through
at least Thursday. Another front approaches and moves into central
FL then into the weekend. Winds will be out of the S/SW up to 10-15
knots, except 15-20 knots offshore into Thursday night, which will
lead to a brief period of poor boating conditions. Seas will range
from 3-5 feet on Wednesday, decreasing to 2-4 feet Thursday through
Saturday.

Dry conditions forecast through Thursday, but as a front approaches
and moves into FL late week into the weekend, rain chances will
increase. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated storms will be
possible across the coastal waters Friday through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1214 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all ECFL terminals through the TAF
period. NW winds 5-10 kts and occasionally gusty become light/VRB
at inland terminals after 21Z. Along the coast winds shift NNE
5-10 kts after 20Z, then also becoming light/VRB after 23Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 315 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

High pressure building into the area through tonight will push
offshore through midweek. This will lead to lower wind speeds across
the area, around 5-10 mph both today and Wednesday. Wind direction
today will be out of the north-northwest, becoming northeast along
the coast late in the afternoon. Winds then become south-southwest
on Wednesday. Very sensitive fire weather conditions will continue
across the region due to critically low RH and the ongoing drought.
Min RH values will fall to 20-35 percent across east central Florida
from late morning through early evening hours both today and
Wednesday. Dispersion values will be fair to generally good today
and very good to excellent on Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  58  34  72  47 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  61  38  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  61  36  73  50 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  61  35  74  49 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  60  38  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  61  37  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  61  39  72  50 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  62  34  74  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ041-
     044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-
     547-647-747.

     Freeze Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for FLZ041-044>046-
     053-058-141-144-247-254-259-347-547.

     Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ041-
     044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-247-254-259-347-547-647.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ550-552.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ555-
     572-575.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for AMZ570.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Weitlich
AVIATION...Haley

NWS SJU Office Area Forecast Discussion